Thread by @ejmalrai

No War

Whatever has happenned in the last hour, details will be revealed soon. However one thing for certain:

the attack has taken place in the occupied Shebaa Farms and it seems it is not expected to expand further.

This round is over for sure.

We have no confirmation of casualties.

The only real count of what happened today will be issued by a #Hezbollah communiqué today.

Artillery ceased firing which means a de-escalation.

#Israel was expected to be unfit for war.

#Israel will not release any correct information but will wait to see if #Hezbollah filmed the entire attack.

#Hezbollah group responsible for the attack won't communicate with the base to avoid interception. When all groups reach safety, information will be released.

Amazing is the fact that LG Aviv Kochavi, the Chief of General Staff of the Israel IDF, informed the 91 brigade deployed at the Lebanese borders that #Hezbollah is expected to retaliate before Adha Eid. Indeed Hezbollah did retaliate, careless about #Israel procedures.

Worth mentionning is the fact that the entire #Israel army, dozens of drones in the sky 24 hours/day over the same area along the borders with #Lebanon and #Hezbollah managed to reach a position to hit a target. It shows the determination and knowledge of the ground & the enemy.

Also, as I have written in past articles, #Hezbollah replaced #Iran/ian forces in many locations in #Syria, this the fall of a Hezbollah militant when #Israel attacked #Damascus airport.

Now there are 2 choices:

First choice: either #Israel stops bombing locations where #Hezbollah is most likely to be deployed...

Second choice: Israel continue violating #Syria sovereignty and runs into the same humiliated scenario again.

The equation of deterrence is dictated by #Hezbollah publicly, and @netanyahu has lost the trust of his people. #Israel has already committed the killing of a Hezbollah militant in #Syria and was waiting for the punishment, ready to accept its losses.

Hezbollah is imposing on Israel its own rules of deterrence and engagement - what Middle Eastern countries, i.e. #Iran, #Syria and #Iraq, have failed to do. #Israel was waiting for Hezbollah’s hit to feel relief and was only hoping the damage/casualties will be limited.

Regardless the results, the attack took place; the deterrence is imposed; Sayyed Nasrallah fulfilled his promised and is expected to threaten in his next speech further with more retaliation; the #Israel-#Hezbollah battle between wars is far from ending.

#Confirmed:

No casualties among #Hezbollah attacking group in the Shebaa farms today against #Israel's objective.

#Israel is now saying it has "twarted a potential attack".

#Hezbollah will issue a communique' soon.

#Hezbollah announced: "the panic among the Israeli army caused the event of today. there was no infiltration or casualties in the Shgebaa Farms."
"Wait for your punishment", said the communique'

So Nothing has happened today & #Israel #IDF was firing artilleries against ghosts.

Well, it is not excluded that the #IDF fired against an #Israel/i army members. This is why @netanyahu asked all ministers to remain silent.

The excess of procedures resulted in this panic.

#Hezbollah said that "#Israel will have to pay for its bombing of Lebanese territory and damage to a Lebanese house in the southern village of Habbariyeh won't go unpinished".

So #Israel added another price to pay on top of its previous suspended account.

#Israel correspondent at Yediot Ahronot:

"If the Israeli army is telling the truth, show us the video from your cameras otherwise you are a fraud".