A #mustread analysis by @vgmenon99 Sir on the sinking of the #Moskva ,he uses Naval analysis to discount the possibility that the #BlackSea fleet flagship could have sunk due to #neptune missile attacks & raises the possibility of a #submarine attack.

rediff.com/news/column/co…
@vgmenon99 Commodore Menon brings out the possibility of a torpedo being fired at the #Moskva , leaves us with only 4 options .
1) A #Russian Kilo fired the torpedo .
2) A #Turkish SSK was the culprit.
3) An SSK/SSN that transited the Bosporus in secret.
4) Airdropped torpedo from an MPA
@vgmenon99 On that last point there is a lot of P3C traffic in the general vicinity of the #MoskvaDown situation.
@vgmenon99 Could've been incapacitated somehow , it is interesting to note the assets the USA moved just prior to the #Moskova sinking .
theaviationist.com/2022/03/29/ea-….

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More from @Aryan_warlord

Apr 22
65 Arsenal - a storage base for #artillery and #rocket ammunition built in 1918 in #Balakleya to supply the #RedArmy. After the collapse of the #USSR , the arsenal was handed over to the #Ukrainian Armed Forces. The #Russian Army has taken control of the arsenal.
This is being reported as one of the largest heavy artillery storages in all of #Ukraine
#Russia posting imagery of Enormous quantity of ammunition left behind by retreating #Ukrainian forces at #Balakleya .
I had written about the prepositioning of such stores by #Ukraine much earlier . ImageImageImageImage
Read 4 tweets
Apr 12
*How #SriLanka got ruined*

Lankans voted for #Rajapakshas knowing very well what they did in the past, including corruption, selling out national assets to #China, #dynastic politics and all.

They still voted for them because Rajapakshas promised things they could not refuse.
1. Their #GST, called VAT Tax, on all products was reduced to 8%, thus making everything cheaper in one stroke. (It also killed the govt revenue). People loved things getting cheaper.
2. The minimum #incometax threshold was changed from 5 Lakhs per annum to 30 Lakhs! Very few earned more than 30L!
A very large part of the population became #tax exempt. This was very popular among the salaried class.
Read 22 tweets
Apr 10
Fact is when the #RussiaUkraineWar war started Ukraine had an advantage in terms of manpower, armour & artillery present In the theatre. They also had a contiguous land border with Europe allowing " volunteers" & armament to be brought at will.
Yet NATO blinked on direct entry.
Fact is Russian forces didn't or were unable to cut access to internet , electricity ,rail & even sir connectivity primarily to western Ukraine. Fact is Russian forces for whatever reason didn't use strategic bombing as a doctrine .
Despite all of the above the Russians have made tangible gains wherever the war has actually taken place as in open conflict with multiple villages & towns primarily in the South & East taken .
Taiwan will be a whole different ball game .
Read 6 tweets
Mar 29
Away from the spotlight the @RBI has cracked the whip on @Mastercard @Visa & @AmexIndia . An ultimatum by which all data of Indian citizens with these firms have to be moved to local servers is set as May 2022 . The entire brass at these firms is scrambling to save themselves.
From May 2022 the @RBI shall be using a software crawler to sift through the entire data these firms have in order to locate any offshore data & possibly any tax evasion or other tomfoolery . The #India management of these firms will be legally liable.
One of the reasons the USA was so easily able to sanction numerous Russians was because they had all the data of those people. In India's case there will be no offshore data , no foreign govt will have access unless granted by New Delhi .
Read 6 tweets
Mar 29
Been talking about this from the first week of March . #Kiev was always a feint whether anyone likes it or not .
Once #Kramatorsk falls the war in #Ukraine will be over for all practical intents & purposes .
@YusufDFI @sumoberoi @bheemmz @Kunal_Biswas707 @sayareakd
My detailed analysis as of the 18th of March holds true to this day . We should see ceasefire talks begin after #Kharkiv & #Kramatorsk fall by mid April .
People said the same thing about Melitopol, Berdyansk, Kherson ,Marinka , Volnovakha & Mariupol .
That said war is often unpredictable , i continue to believe both will fall .
Read 4 tweets
Mar 18
Looks like #western & #Australian analysts are finally waking up to what I've been publicly stating here for the last two weeks .
#Kiev & #Kharkiv are distractions , the real game is in #southeastern #Ukraine .
news.com.au/world/europe/r…
In the Southeast sector #Russia has no #logistics problems with supplies getting trucked in via the DPR & LPR .If anything the #Ukrainian forces stuck here have logistics trouble with supply lines stretching to #Lviv nearly 1200km away ,nothing is getting out of #Kiev ,#Kharkiv .
To their credit #Ukrainian forces seem to have Prepositioned significant ammunition , troops & equipment in hardened dispersed storages in the east which they're using to fight on .
Of late #Russians have been Targeting these stores unerringly.
Read 19 tweets

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