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Jul 22 • 23 tweets • 14 min read
NEW: #Ukraine unleashing "very precise, very accurate" targeting of #Russia , per senior defense official

"They're paying a high price" official says of #Russia, saying its forces suffering "low morale"
On the new $170 million drawdown/aid package -"The capabilities in this package are going to be useful on the battlefield immediately" per senior US defense official

That include the #Himars, more artillery ammo
580 #PhoenixGhost drones that will be procured - "steady deliveries" will begin in August, per senior US defense official
"There really have not been significant gains by the #Russia|ns anywhere" per senior US military official

Says Russian efforts/expectations to get to #Slovyansk have not come to fruition
"The #Ukrainian will continues to be incredibly strong" per senior US military official

Says The will is helping "to push the #Russia|ns around pretty significantly"
"Not true" per senior US military official on claims by #Russia it destroyed 4 #HIMARS

Says the assessment is based on conversations w/#Ukraine officials
#Ukraine using drones - #PhoenixGhost & #SwitchBlades "to great effect" per senior US defense official
#Ukraine air force still reliant on #MiGs #Sukhoi's,
per sr US defense official

Won't comment on whether US might provide US-made planes beyond drones, despite other officials say that is under consideration
#PhoenixGhost drones - "We don't want them to get to the point where they run out" per a senior US defense official
#Russia|n morale issues - "plentiful reports" many in open force about Russian troops refusing to flight, fleeing their posts, per senior US military official

#Ukraine seeing much the same, per the official
#Russia "They have slowed down considerably" per a senior US military official

"We're seeing folks (Russians) dig in" due to #Ukraine's use of #HIMARS, artillery, per the official
On possible US aid to #Ukraine air force - "We do not have any pilot training underway" per a senior US defense official
US, Western aid to #Ukraine - "there is very much a sense of urgency" per a senior US defense official

US, allies "very alarmed by #Russian plans to possibly annex additional territory"
Exploration of giving #Ukraine US aircraft? "We're focused on the battlefield today" per senior US defense official

"That's really been a focus on #HIMARS, on artillery, on air defense" per official, refusing to comment on White House statement
Pressed by @nancyayoussef on US planes maybe going to #Ukraine, senior US defense official says "that is not something we are looking to support on the battlefield today"

Official says @DeptofDefense looking at aircraft as part of helping #Kyiv w/future defense needs
Use of #HIMARS - "The #Ukrainians are good" per a senior US military official, adding they expect #Ukraine forces to start using them to go on the offensive vs #Russia, whereas now they are still using them defensively
US has $6 billion left for #Ukraine security aid under the current Presidential Drawdown Authority, per a senior US defense official
#PhoenixGhost drones-"We're received tremendous, positive feedback from the #Ukrainians" per senior US defense official

"We have a lot of confidence based on their feedback"
#HIMARS "They're the most hunted things in all of #Ukraine" per senior US military official

#Russia's failure to take out the HIMARS-"This speaks to the exceptional ability of the #Ukrainians...their tactical expertise" per official
"We are seeing indications that the #Russia|ns are trying to adjust for the impact the #HIMARS are having on them" per senior US military official

Camouflage, movement...but official says Russians not effectively able to counter the effect of the HIMARS
#Ukraine military capabilities - "When they set their mind to it, they seem to do it" per senior US military official
#Ukraine coastal defense - focus on bolstering the #Harpoon system, per senior US defense official

US working w/donors to secure additional #Harpoon missiles, especially for the defense of #Odesa
More on the @DeptofDefense staring to look at eventually providing #Ukraine w/US aircraft - "Now is really our 1st opportunity to have a holistic look at future force capability" per senior US defense official

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More from @jseldin

Jeff Seldin Profile picture
Jul 22
NEW: #Ukraine-"It was the assessment of the American intelligence community...#Russia would be significantly more capable & significantly more successful on the battlefield" White House Nat'l Security Adviser @JakeSullivan46 tells #AspenSecurity
"In fact, #Russia was not able to acheive the basic strategic objectives that Pres. #Putin set out" per @JakeSullivan46

#Ukraine "won the battle of #Kyiv, they beat Russia back from #Kharkiv, they stopped Russia from being able to make a bum's rush to #Odesa"
"Now we're in a circumstance where #Russia is facing significant difficulties constituting th kind of force necessary for them to achieve the objectives which have not fundamentally changed" per @JakeSullivan46
Read 13 tweets
Jeff Seldin Profile picture
Jul 22
BREAKING: US announces new, $270 million security package for #Ukraine, per @WHNSC's John Kirby

Includes 4 more #HIMARS "which the #Ukrainians have been using very effectively", 36k rounds of artillery ammo, some anti-armor systems

Also includes 580 #PhoenixGhost drones
"We'll have more packages of aid [for #Ukraine] to announce in the weeks and months to come" per @WHNSC's John Kirby
White House praises grain deal signed Friday but cautions "success of course is going to depend on #Russia's compliance w/the agreement" per @WHNSC's John Kirby
Read 9 tweets
Jeff Seldin Profile picture
Jul 22
"We used to always talk about super powers & I think we now live in a world where we need to talk about cyber powers" @Microsoft President & Vice Chair @BradSmi tells #AspenSecurity

"2 of the great #cyber powers in the world are #Russia & #China..."
"The United States is the strongest #cyber power of all" per @Microsoft's @BradSmi

"But what we're fundamentally seeing is #Ukraine in particular is Russia use its very sophisticated cyber capabilities to do 3 things..."
"One is support an invasion, including w/destructive cyber attacks" per @Microsoft's @BradSmi

"The 2nd is do what the #Russian gvt does year-in, year-out, which is very broad-based espionage & hacking, both of gvt & pvt sector"
Read 10 tweets
Jeff Seldin Profile picture
Jul 22
#Drone threat to the US - "We [US] have to think abt whether or not humans will remain in the kill chain bcs some of our adversaries have decided they will not & that the targeting will be done much quicker" House Intel Comm.'s @RepJasonCrow tells #AspenSecurity
Threat to US from drones-"How do we stop those drones before they ever launch?" asks @USSOCOM Commander Gen. Richard Clarke tells #AspenSecurity

"The cost for entry...is very very low" he says, adding there also needs to be discussion of norms for use of drones
#Chemcial-#Biological threat to US significant, even from non-state actors - "It's pretty simple to do" per @USSOCOM's Gen Clarke
Read 15 tweets
Jeff Seldin Profile picture
Jul 21
"#Iran is threatening the other countries as much as it is threatening the State of #Israel" Israeli Defense Minister Benny Gantz tells #AspenSecurity

"Iran is a global challenge. You can see it in #Venezeula. You can see it in South #Africa, in South America... #Nigeria"
#Israel-#Ukraine - "Israel is definitely on the Western side. Israel is definitely on the #Ukrainian side" per DefMin Gantz

"We are supporting it in all the diplomatic measures. We are supporting it w/all the humanitarian aid...We have opened a field hospital"
Why not more for #Ukraine? "We do have our operational considerations" per #Israel's Gantz

"We are sharing an aerial border w/the #Russia|ns above #Syria ... so we have other calculus that we have to take into mind"
Read 7 tweets
Jeff Seldin Profile picture
Jul 21
NEW: 15,000 #Russia|n soldiers killed in #Ukraine - estimate given by @CIA Dir William Burns Wednesday - "probably a conservative estimate" #Britain's @ChiefMI6 Richard Moore tells #AspenSecurity
NEW: #Russia in #Ukraine: "I think they're about to run out of steam" per @ChiefMI6

"Our assessment is that the Russians will increasingly find it difficult to supply manpower, materiel over the next few weeks"
Inevitable #Russia|n pause - "That will give #Ukrainians the ability to strike back" per @ChiefMI6
Read 20 tweets

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