"Tight grain supplies reflect the impact of climate change on crop production as well as growing global demand for livestock that feed on corn, eating away at stockpiles"
☝️All these warning signs at the same as we know models are likely highly conservative in predicting how #ClimateChange will impact global food production-
“a combination of above average temperatures and below normal precipitation resulted in
widespread drought conditions this past growing season across much of the main agricultural
producing areas in the U.S.”
Rajasthan, India-“Farmers across the state are a worried lot. Excess rainfall in July, drought-like conditions affecting crops... & now untimely excessive rainfall in several districts damaging ready-to-harvest crops have hit Rajasthan farmers hard”
'Typhoon Noru has damaged swaths of farmland in the Philippines, posing further risks to food supply & inflation... 20 cyclones pass through the Philippines annually, incurring $10 billion in losses from climate-related hazards over a decade'
What factors are 𝘯𝘰𝘵 included in most crop models?
⚠️Among many other things
-declines in pollinating insects
-nutrient reductions in staple crops
-changes in air quality
-land degradation and salinisation
-even *increasing extreme weather*
"People were fleeing to higher, cooler ground. Subway stations were blacked out...buildings were darkened... important arteries for shipping & transportation became unnavigable...Chickens died or struggled to lay eggs"
'According to data from NASA ... the North China Plain’s groundwater reserves are even more overdrawn than those of the Ogallala Aquifer under the Great Plains of the United States, one of the world’s most imperiled critical agricultural water sources' 3/4 foreignaffairs.com/china/chinas-g…
"I think what it reinforces is that, even though a lot of us are sort of sitting in sort of Western countries, where we might think we're a bit more insulated from some of these threats, actually we are not necessarily"
I tweet a great deal about climate change impacts on agriculture because it is clear that reducing emissions is the single most important need to ensure food system resilience, but ...
'Parts of the European Union could face 𝘁𝗵𝗿𝗲𝗲 𝗺𝗼𝗿𝗲 𝗺𝗼𝗻𝘁𝗵𝘀 of warmer and drier conditions as Europe weathers a major drought that has fueled forest fires, dried up rivers and devastated crops'
The climate crisis is *already* impacting food supplies in wealthy countries- & look at what is being ignored in Somalia:
'Crops are failing while millions of livestock die, as the drought cripples the main source of income for 80% of the population...' time.com/6205717/somali…