Jeff Seldin Profile picture
Sep 29 10 tweets 12 min read
Survey of key Western countries finds US "still perceived as the most influential actor in the world" BUT 'respondents predict its influence will decline sharply over the next 5 years"

per @gmfus' #TransatlanticTrends2022
More: "Younger people generally have a less positive view than their elders of US influence in the world" per @gmfus' #TransatlanticTrends2022
More: @gmfus' #TransatlanticTrends2022 finds "A clear majority of respondents in #Europe approve of
[@POTUS @JoeBiden's] handling of international affairs, w/approval highest in #Poland & lowest in #Türkiye"
Also, "A strong majority of respondents overall want the #UnitedStates involved in the defense of #Europe, w/most significant increases from 2021 in #Sweden, #Spain, & the #Netherlands" per @gmfus' #TransatlanticTrends2022
#EU @NATO held in high esteem - "seen as important by large majorities for the security of respondents’ countries" per #TransatlanticTrends2022

"Overwhelming majorities in #Lithuania, #Poland,
& #Romania see NATO as somewhat or very important for the security of their country"
NEW: #China - #Tawian - @gmfus' #TransatlanticTrends2022 finds "no appetite for sending arms or troops to #Taiwan in case of an invasion by #China, w/respondents more favorable toward diplomatic actions & joint sanctions"
More: On #China's technology, "respondents in many countries prefer cooperation w/China rather than being tough with China" per #TransatlanticTrends2022

"In several countries, pluralities say they do not know whether it is a partner, a competitor, or a rival"
NEW: Fears about the fate of American democracy

"Almost 1-in-3 American respondents think that democracy in the #UnitedStates is in danger, a significant increase from the previous year" per @gmfus' #TransatlanticTrends2022
Countries surveyed for @gmfus' #TransatlanticTrends2022:

#Canada, #France, #Germany, #Italy, #Lithuania, #Netherlands, #Poland, #Portugal, #Romania, #Spain, #Sweden, #Turkey, #Britain, #UnitedStates

Conducted June- July 2022

Margin of error: +/- 2.5 percentage points

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More from @jseldin

Sep 30
NEW: @NATO SecGen @jensstoltenberg slams #Russia's annexation of additional regions of #Ukraine "in total violation of int'l law"

"This land grab is illegal & illegitimate" he says "These lands are Ukraine...just like #Crimea is Ukraine" Image
#Russia's annexation "does not change the nature of the conflict ... it does not change our commitment to support Ukraine" per @NATO's @jensstoltenberg

But he adds, "NATO is not party to conflict"
"This is a pivotal moment...the most serious escalation since the start of the war" per @NATO's @jensstoltenberg on #Russia's latest annexation of #Ukraine territory

"None of this shows strength" he adds "It shows weakness"
Read 11 tweets
Sep 29
#China's growing nuclear arsenal - "We going to be plunged into a tri-polar world" @usairforce Sec Frank Kendall tells #CAPEvents

"...there's a lot of risk in that"
#Russia's struggle to overcome #Ukraine's air defense: "A well trained opponent would be able to overwhelm what they [the Ukrainians] did...the Russians were obviously not well-trained" per @usairforce's Kendall

"We expected them [Russia] to be better than they are" he adds
#China "not a match for the #UnitedStates" in the skies, @usairforce's Kendall tells #CAPEvents "...the J-20 is not as good as the F-35"

But Kendall warns #Beijing's been smart about pursuing asymmetric advantages, like missile capabilities to destroy US planes on the ground
Read 6 tweets
Sep 29
NEW: #Russia|n oligarch, 3 associates charged w/sanctions evasion & obstruction of justice

Per @TheJusticeDept, indictment vs oligarch Oleg Deripaska, Natalia Bardakova, Olga Shriki & Ekaterina Lobanova was unsealed today

Shriki -a naturalized US citizen- was arrested this AM ImageImageImageImage
Per @TheJusticeDept, Shriki deleted electronic records after getting a grand jury subpoena

Lobanova, 33, is charged w/making false statements to @DHSgov agents when she tried to enter the US "for the purpose of giving birth to Deripaska’s child"
"The Justice Department will not stop working to identify, find, and bring to justice those who evade US sanctions in order to enable the #Russia|n regime" per US Atty Gen Merrick Garland, in statement
Read 10 tweets
Sep 28
NEW: Pentagon backs @POTUS on #Moscow's sham referenda in #Ukraine - US will "never recognize" territory being annexed by #Russia - it will always be part of Ukraine, per senior US defense official
#Russia's ongoing mobilization shows #Moscow "continues to believe that it can win the long game" in its effort to conquer #Ukraine" per senior US defense official

"...this is yet another Russian miscalculation"
NEW - delivery of #HIMARS, associated munitions as part of latest US pkg for #Ukraine will take about 2 years, per a sr US defense official

Most of the rest of the pkg will be delivered over the next 6-24 months
Read 16 tweets
Sep 21
NEW: Threat from #Iran, it's proxies "increasingly sophisticated & multi-dimensional...increasingly brazen" @TheJusticeDept's Deputy Attorney General Lisa Monaco tells @UANI's #Iransummit2022
#Iran efforts to develop & exploit networks in the #UnitedStates "is most concerning" per @TheJusticeDept's Monaco

"This is a threat that has evolved & increased"
#Iran brazenness evidenced by "this year alone, the disruption of 2 plots against Americans on US soil..." per @TheJusticeDept's Monaco, referring to plots vs @AlinejadMasih & @AmbJohnBolton
Read 9 tweets
Sep 21
ICYMI: @NATO SecGen @jensstoltenberg tells @Reuters nuclear threats by #Russia|ns President Vladimir Putin "not new...he has done it many times before"

Shud Putin use nukes, "it will have unprecedented consequences for Russia"
"We will make sure that there is no misunderstanding in #Moscow about exactly how we will react" per @NATO's @jensstoltenberg
"So far we have not seen any changes in the [#Russia|n] nuclear posture, the nuclear readiness" per @NATO's @jensstoltenberg

"But we monitor this very closely"

re #Russia #Ukraine #nuclear threats
Read 4 tweets

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