#IranProtests significantly expanded in size and scale on October 8 as anti-regime demonstrations entered their twenty-second consecutive day. #مهسا_امینی #اعتراضات_سراسری Image
Anti-regime protests were documented in at least 25 different #Iranian cities and 19 provinces, marking one of the most significant days of #protest activity since demonstrations began on September 16.
A wide range of #Iranians participated in protests on October 8, including marginalized minorities, merchants, students, and the urban elite. Ongoing demonstrations are posing a serious and increasing threat to the regime.

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More from @criticalthreats

Oct 10
NEW | The attack on the #Kerch Strait Bridge is generating direct criticism of #Russian President Vladimir Putin and the #Kremlin from the Russian pro-war nationalist community. Read today’s update from @criticalthreats and @TheStudyofWar: criticalthreats.org/analysis/russi… Image
#Ukrainian forces continued to advance east of the #Oskil River in the direction of #Luhansk Oblast and have entered #Stel’makhivka. Russian forces launched unsuccessful assaults on #Burdaka on the #Kharkiv Oblast-Russian border, and #Terny northeast of #Lyman. Image
#Russian sources reported that Russian forces attempted to attack in the direction of #Ternovi Pody. #Ukrainian sources reported that Russian forces continued to target newly liberated settlements in northern #Kherson Oblast with artillery, MLRS, and aviation. Image
Read 4 tweets
Oct 10
Anti-regime #protests occurred in at least 18 cities in 15 different provinces in #Iran on October 9. 1/4 #مهسا_امینی

criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-…
Iranian leadership may have ordered the IRGC Ground Forces to support the protest crackdown directly. The IRGC Ground Forces would likely use extreme force. Its deployment would indicate that the regime is alarmed by the protests and considers them a serious security threat. 2/4
Iran has built a multilayered security apparatus of different military and paramilitary institutions to impose social control. The IRGC Ground Forces is the regime’s last line of defense against internal unrest and the most prominent security layer after the LEC and Basij. 3/4
Read 4 tweets
Oct 9
A large-scale explosion seriously damaged the #Kerch Strait Bridge that links occupied #Crimea with #Russia. Read today’s update from @criticalthreats and @TheStudyofWar. criticalthreats.org/analysis/russi… 1/4 Image
#Russian sources claimed that #Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations in #Kharkiv and #Luhansk Oblasts. 2/4 Image
Russian forces continued establishing defensive positions in northern #Kherson Oblast. 3/4 Image
Read 4 tweets
Oct 6
NEW #Africa File | #BurkinaFaso’s latest coup on Sep. 30 indicates that the governance and security crisis in West Africa’s #Sahel region continues to deepen. @liam_karr @brian_cartr @EmilyCEstelle criticalthreats.org/briefs/africa-… 1/5 Image
Salafi-jihadi groups linked to #alQaeda and the #IslamicState have exploited cyclical violence and anti-government grievances to root themselves in local communities and steadily expand in the Sahel over the past decade. 2/5 Image
The fallout from the Burkina Faso coup, like the 2020 and 2021 coups in Mali, will likely further reduce counterterrorism pressure and worsen the conditions that lead to Salafi-jihadi expansion. 3/5
Read 5 tweets
Oct 6
NEW | Increasing domestic critiques of #Russia’s “partial mobilization” are likely driving Putin to scapegoat the Russian Ministry of Defense and specifically Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu. Read today’s update from CTP and @TheStudyofWar: criticalthreats.org/analysis/russi…
The #Ukrainian counteroffensive that began in #Kharkiv Oblast has not yet culminated and is actively pushing into #Luhansk Oblast.
#Ukrainian troops likely consolidated positions and regrouped in northern #Kherson Oblast after making major gains over in the last 48 hours.
Read 4 tweets
Oct 5
Anti-regime protests in #Iran may have occurred in at least four cities in four provinces—a significant decrease from the previous day’s protest activity. Read the latest update from @criticalthreats and @TheStudyofWar. criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-… 1/4
Anti-regime outlet Iran International reported that #Iran is using orbit jamming to block the network’s satellite signal into Iran. 2/4
The Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (#IRGC) conducted an artillery strike on Sidekan in Iraqi Kurdistan for the tenth consecutive day. 3/4
Read 4 tweets

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