If you haven't read it
From our newsletter:
$DJI
"Last Friday it managed - just like the $DJT and $IWM - to make a solid upward breakout... did so on high volume... close above the 20, 50, 100 and 200DMA.
All indicates that this will most likely be the way forward for the #SPX"
" #DJT made an excellent breakout and closed above 20 and 100DMA. It closed right at its 50DMA. Bullish action from a leading indicator. $DJT will have to surpass the conjunction of 50DMA and 200DMA next week, in order to validate more upward moves"
It did that yesterday
"A follow up rally is expected to allow it to break out of the Noise Box and break above at least the 20DMA.
On Monday it broke above the Noise Box, yesterday above the 20DMA, today above the 50DMA"
#MarketBreadth
"SPX stocks above 200DMA Index found support at its 50DMA since December 22nd. With Friday's rally it managed to rise above critical 50% level and above 20DMA. It’s also back above the April 2021 trend line. It supports the idea of the follow up rally this week"
"We believe the market is prepared for this lack of love, and if Powell talks tough the chances are that after a dip the market will recover and go on its way to retest its resistance levels once again"
"For all major indexes that means going up and staying above Friday's high. If that is achieved the #DJI should look to reach 34335, #SPX 4000, #QQQ 282, and #IWM 183"
We still need to hit them. We are close though
$IWM is the closest to hit target
•Recession is around the corner
• Rates ↑
• Geopolitical tensions
•CPI is coming
• Bearish monthly engulfing candle on the main indexes
• Charts of market leaders are broken
•Bearish flag on the index charts
•Inflation/Commodities/Oil/ $DXY are ↓
• $DJI and $DJT broke above consolidation
•Higher volume on up days
• $VIX in strong donwtrend
• $VVIX broke below support, is at 2017 levels
•Positive divergence from classic indicators
•Breadth is + #SPX
We should look at the indices that have led the recent moves up and down: $DJI, $IWM, $DJT, #S5TH.
The #DJI has a more defined Noise Box. It broke out of it last Friday, and did so on higher volume, closing above 50DMA and 20DMA. Bullish, DJI should continue up on Monday
$SPX
$DJT has as $DJI a more defined Noise Box. It broke out of it yesterday in higher volume, closing above 20DMA, and like $SPX rigth at the 50DMA
The general look of this chart is bullish short term, so a continuation rally is on the menu for next week
• Rates, dollar, employment ↑
• Geopolitical tensions
• $VIX and $VVIX are above 20DMA and uptrending
• $SPX closed below 200, 100, 50 and 20 DMA
• Negative #Gamma regime
• Leading sectors are breaking down
$ES_F $SPX $SPY #SPX#VIX#trading
NEXT WEEK
The Bull's take
•Inflation/Commodities/Oil/ $DXY are ↓
•Seasonality favors up movement
•It was all about heavy $GEX & #Quad witching day
•Indices are very near strong support
• $VIX and $VVIX still in donwtrend
• Breadth indicator (#S5TH) is still holding #SPX
TODAY IN THE MARKETS
$SPX
A low #CPI triggered a 114-point jump that took it above the dominant trendline. At the open, sell orders above that level initiated a pullback that took it 126 points down to the 20DMA
Not what we would call a 1-day reversal, more upside to come #SPX
$DIA
Same picture for #DIA, sell orders above Dec 1 high pushed the #DJI lower
It went down after an impressive initial rally
Bounced from 20DMA