Thread by @commandeleven

As the #Taliban continue to claim moving #TTP fighters to western #Afghanistan, TTP fighters have been confirmed in northern AFG, today the head of district intelligence of the Taliban’s Main Intelligence Directorate (GID) can under attack in #Badakhshah province.

For those unfamiliar with #Badakhshah provincial borders…

Another important factor to keep in mind is the #geological value of #Badakhshah province.

This is of key importance to #China’s investment into minerals in #Afghanistan.

Lastly, when speaking of #Badakhshah, we also need to keep in view the #GreaterBadakhshah POV maintained by many.

If a #GreaterPashtunistan is an objective for the #Taliban, we can believe this is also an objective.

Many believe the attack is a continuation of the zeroing of the local Taliban, made up of mostly Tajiks to be replaced with #Pashtun Taliban moving from the south of the country.

Here’s another point to consider - if #TTP fighters are ALSO being moved to western #Afghanistan, which borders both #Iran, were the Taliban are already fighting along the border, but also #Turkmenistan.

tribune.com.pk/story/2422068/…

That would mean #Taliban fighters or allied #terrorist groups along each border.

This will make things very difficult for the region, as a whole, in terms of trade and security.

While some #Pakistan|i security officials believe Pakistan can afford this, they are demonstrating their short sighted thinking.

The #TTP has had access to #FATA & northern #Pakistan, has now gained full access to #Balochistan through #BLA, but now #Parachinar & #DeraAdamKhel.

We also fully believe they are operating in #Pakistan with the full support of the #HaqqaniNetwork & #ISKP.

We @commandeleven repeatedly said last year - if the #TTP re-emerged, we can expect #Iraq & #Syria style warfare & bombings in #Pakistan.

Do you see it now?

The video we shared of few days back of a joint #Taliban-#ISKP team going to fight in #Panjshir against supporters/members of the Resistance & local residents.

The #CivilWar is coming to the region, where militaries will be fighting guerrilla warfare in urban settings.

We have been providing regular analysis of the movement of #TTP fighters in #Afghanistan & the potential problems continuing for #Pakistan, beginning for #Tajikistan & its seems the #Taliban is re-positioning fighters based on upcoming campaigns.

Unroll