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Joshua Green @JoshuaGreen
, 3 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
UPDATE: China just stopped buying U.S. soybeans (bloomberg.com/news/articles/…). That's going to hurt the 30 pro-Trump districts in the map below -->
Per Bloomberg data, here are the 25 House members whose districts will suffer most
Another view of the damage, via @TheTerminal
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NEWS: I got hold of internal RNC poll @jmartNYT + @jonathanvswan wrote about and it's stunning: Trump's boast of a "red wave" has convinced many GOP voters House isn't at risk -- so they may not show up in Nov: bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
@jmartNYT @jonathanvswan Also, the RNC poll finds Dems "hold a significant edge on both the generic Congressional ballot and 'campaign interest'" -- they lead the generic ballot by 9 points.
@jmartNYT @jonathanvswan one correction -- @jmartNYT/@alexburnsNYT 's piece referred to America First Policies, not RNC
Read 7 tweets
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With Trump's tariffs imminent, I did a deep dive for @BW on the congressional districts that will suffer most. One GOP strategist told me: "It’s like he’s micro-targeting policy to screw his own supporters.” bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
I found a remarkable stat on how badly Trump supporters get hurt in a trade war if China retaliates with soy tariffs as threatened. Of the 30 House districts most reliant on soybeans, GOP reps 25 + Dems 5 -- but all 30 districts voted for Trump in '16 (bloomberg.com/news/articles/…)
One irony is that hardcore pro-Trump House Republicans, like @SteveKingIA, will suffer the most from Trump's actions -- and they know it. King told me "nobody" in his district thinks this'll turn out well for them
Read 5 tweets
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Useful history here for those who don't know it: Trump got mercilessly owned by both @sethmeyers + @BarackObama at 2011 WHCD as he sat in the audience. It was his "Rosebud" moment. I'll tweet the surreal scene as described in DEVIL'S BARGAIN (amazon.com/Devils-Bargain…) -->
First off, Trump almost skipped the WHCD because he was invited to Steve Wynn's third wedding in Vegas the night before and Clint Eastwood and Frank Stallone were gonna be there. And '80s celebs are gods to Trump...
It was a setup -- only Trump was apparently the only one not in on the joke. The "joke" was that in the slightly gross social taxonomy of the WHCD, Trump, then at the apex of his outre birther-racist phase, was a great "get" (for the not-yet-Bezos-owned Washington Post)
Read 9 tweets

Related threads

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Trump: Day 692
-Inaugural Fund Under Investigation
-Butina Pleads Guilty 2 Conspiracy
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-US Budget Deficit 4 Nov was $205B
-Considers Kushner for Chief of Staff
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Day 797 since Donald Trump admitted to sexual assault — yet he’s still in the Oval Office
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The FISA warrant Trump referenced targeted Carter Page. #TrumpLies
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#China 🇨🇳 #AmericaFirst 🇺🇸 Looking forward to a great deal #MAGAforALL🌹
#Reciprocity is so important. The Wharton School of Business has served you well.
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Who funds the IEA, the TPA, the ASI &co?
You know, the RW 'free trade' thick tanks advocating tax havens, "freedom" (no regulations like workers' rights or environmental protection), no welfare (no tax & no free healthcare).
Basically, "Only the wealthier survive" philosophy?
1/n
*Could it be* that it has something to do with defending their funders' interests?
Today, I'm going to tell you the Thick Tanks' Hydra tale.
Featuring Atlas, huge piles of money, tradition, "free speech", useful idiots and a very clear agenda that Brexit/Trump are a part of.
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Take a seat: It's a long story, with a lot of players, including politicians, pretty ladies squatting your TV, the climate change denial's network, the global fascist movement, Silicon Valley/multiname data-stealing/misusing company & private companies' involved in elections.
3/n
Read 249 tweets
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Trump: Day 550
-Continues Disinformation Campaign
-Goes Orwellian in Missouri Speech
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Day 655 since Donald Trump admitted to sexual assault — yet he’s still in the Oval Office
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Day 507 of NO EVIDENCE produced by Trump that his phones were tapped by Obama.

The FISA warrant Trump referenced targeted Carter Page. #fakenews #TrumpLies
Read 70 tweets
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"Trump has used Harley-Davidson as an example of a US business that is being harmed by trade barriers. Yet Harley has warned consistently against tariffs, saying they would negatively impact sales"

Harley, hit by tariffs, shifts some production overseas apnews.com/6c8942f7363743…
Important issue highlighted by @riotwomennn: are tariff exemptions determined by bribes?

Corker: "22,000 companies have asked for exemptions.There is no basis to deal with them. Are they going to grant these exclusions based on political contributions?"
Trump’s trade war with the European Union is going to cost Harley-Davidson as much as $100 million a year and force the manufacturer to shift production out of the U.S. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Read 232 tweets
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Trump Hotels' website still lists Trump SoHo New York among its properties in the Our Hotels menu. Select its name though to access its page and there's a message about it being renamed

bit.ly/2EPCSy1
National politics correspondent for Newsweek, Nina Burleigh, with a fun find on a TV above the bar at the Trump Hotel DC bit.ly/2E37QRR
Two errors in the 2nd graf of Breitbart's Trump Hotel DC article:
-holdings aren't out of @realDonaldTrump's hands: trust isn't blind & he can profit from it
-Trump Org told Congress it was estimating foreign receipts—not auto donating in full
bit.ly/2CpL7z2
Read 1562 tweets

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