Profile picture
Katy Hayward @hayward_katy
, 5 tweets, 4 min read Read on Twitter
First blatant non-sequitur of the #WhitePaper: FTA will give continued frictionless access at the UK/EU border.

Unless working assumption is that the 'friction' can be managed 'away from' the border, which is a distinct possibility.
Will keep reading...
It's a 'free trade area', but not as we know it.
Both 'the letter & the spirit' of @BelfastAgmt to be honoured in #Brexit.
+
The UK will agree an operational legal text for a #backstop for NI... but will negotiate a future partnership that ensures that this will not have to be used.
=
In keeping with Joint Report of 8th Dec.17
Request for joint institutional structures (ref. possible Assoc. Agmt) is interesting & marks progress.

Esp cos UKGov slides on Economic P'ship (24 May bit.ly/2N8McQE) implied UK wants deeper cooperation than others enjoy but minus the necessary institutional structures
If DUP/Tory alliance has done anything, it's made UK 'constitutional integrity' a favoured pat phrase for HMG.

& I would interpret what is meant here by 'constitutionally appropriate' as being primarily a political judgment/tactic.
Missing some Tweet in this thread?
You can try to force a refresh.

Like this thread? Get email updates or save it to PDF!

Subscribe to Katy Hayward
Profile picture

Get real-time email alerts when new unrolls are available from this author!

This content may be removed anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

Related hashtags

#WhitePaper #Brexit #backstop

More from @hayward_katy see all

Profile picture
‘A Better Deal’?
bit.ly/2PCZh5S

If you are looking for a workable alternative to the Protocol on NI/IRL in the #WithdrawalAgreement, & if you are worried about @BorderIrish & @BelfastAgmt, I'm afraid this isn't it.

Here's a thread that is as tight as possible.
1/
First, don’t be fooled by the legalise & jargon.

It cannot be a serious legal text if it assumes that parties can simply “agree not to place physical infrastructure or introduce related checks and controls on the Irish border in any circumstances” (as per para 2).

2/
It is not in the gift of these parties to make such a guarantee without proper consideration of consequences for their international trade partners + responsibilities to their own consumers.

What this proposes in terms of 'Irish border measures' doesn't cut it (more anon.).
3/
Read 20 tweets
Profile picture
Here we go: Very initial impressions of the #WithdrawalAgreement's Protocol on NI/IRL #backstop, drawing heavily on UK Explainer of the same. tinyurl.com/ydfrvcdc 1/8
First, some general points I think are worth noting, mainly about how the UK is trying to frame it & what has changed in the Preamble to the #Protocol.
2/8
To the #backstop, which is now about avoiding north/south AND east/west barriers... at least at face value.
UK keen to emphasise its temporary nature & unlikely implementation.
Initial decision on whether it comes into force will have to be made by 1 July 2020 & by the UK.
3/8
Read 8 tweets
Profile picture
Barnier's speech today illustrates why no one will be happy with the final deal because, well, Brexit means *cough* Brexit.

UK outside EU means:
- checks where they don't currently exist.
- more admin to cross borders
- new barriers to movement.

1/5
 europa.eu/rapid/press-re…
Concessions will be on where the checks will be & who conducts them.

This is how EU proposes to de-dramatise possible customs checks between GB and NI.

2/5
This is EU dedramatising regulatory checks if NI in Single Market for goods and GB not.

Again, priority is not to have them *at* the Irish border.

3/5
Read 5 tweets

Related threads

Profile picture
ScotTories/Tomkins (AT) want uniform Brexit across UK, wd deny a backstop for Northern Ireland to avoid any encouragement (in their view) to indy in Scotland. Lets look at their arguments (thread) ft.com/content/60b7a8… via @financialtimes
AT: ‘Brexit looks v different..viewed from Scotland. Not because Scots voted by 62 per cent to 38 per cent to remain’
Dismissive of all Scottish ‘remain’ support; LibDem, Lab, SNP, Green voters support remain at over 70%. AT’s argument is for Tory not Scottish unionist voters 2.
AT: ‘Leaving the EU can be an opportunity to strengthen the UK and cement Scotland’s place in it’
But a v large amount of expert evidence shows Brexit will damage UK & Scottish trade, growth, jobs, opportunities for Scots in EU, opportunities for EU citizens in Scotland 3.
Read 16 tweets
Profile picture
001/ [article content in this tweet series 001-180 reproduced with permission from Martin Howe QC of Lawyers for Britain @lawyers4britain]
#quote "Leaving the EU on WTO terms: pulling down the barriers to world trade
Introduction: why prices will FALL after Brexit, not rise" /002
002/ #quote "Over the past couple of weeks, the media have been full of lurid scare stories about what will happen if the UK leaves the EU on WTO terms, because negotiations with the EU do not result in a withdrawal agreement." /003
#tariffs #NoDeal #Brexit #WTO #ProjectFear #shortages #food #medicines
003/ #quote "One of the most ridiculous and UNJUSTIFIED of these absurd scare stories is that it will lead to higher prices, and even shortages, of foods and medicines." /004
Read 180 tweets
Profile picture
So, as you may have seen, the @UKandEU report on a #NoDeal Brexit is out today. ukandeu.ac.uk/wp-content/upl… And whilst, obvs, most of you are already immersed in it, thought I'd attempt q quick summary for the lazy people (1)
We try to explain what No Deal means. There is a tendency to elide it with 'trading on WTO terms'. Which, of course, would be possible with a withdrawal agreement. We also make clear the crucial point that, unlike with most 'deals.' default outcome is not the status quo. (2)
We deliberately pick the worst case. Where we leave with no deal at all. Which, as we point out, we do not think is by any manner of means the most likely outcome. That being said, however, we argue that, in the event of a no deal, mitigations will be hard (3)
Read 25 tweets
Profile picture
1/ There are shell games being played rhetorically around the potential trade benefits of Brexit resulting in leaving a Customs Union with the EU.

I wanted to dig into some of them.

I fear this will be a long and wonky thread. I'll do my best to keep things accessible.
2/ CLAIM: Once the UK is out of the Customs Union, it can drop all the tariffs protecting mainland EU interests. Everything will become cheaper for consumers.

This is normally supported by pointing to individual high EU tariff rates, most notably in some agricultural products.
3/ If not part of a Customs Union, the UK will absolutely be free to reduce those tariffs, even to zero. In fact, as Lawyers for Brexit argue, in some sectors it would be crazy not to because there aren't even British producers to protect.

But don't expect big price drops.
Read 14 tweets
Profile picture
First take from #WhitePaper Foreword.

There’s a new mantra. “Principled & Practical Brexit”.

Apparently it is in our national interest. And so together *we* must now get on and deliver it. To secure the prosperity & security of our citizens for generations to come.

*Coughs*
Foreword from our new Brexit Sec sings about our “unprecedented economic partnership..unrivalled security partnership & and unparalleled partnership on cross-cutting issues such as data, science, innovation”.

Isn’t that called the EU? /2
They don’t call it a #WhitePaper for nothing.
(Cheekily note the tiny heading)
Read 5 tweets
Profile picture
Corbyn & a customs union: a short thread
Will Corbyn fully back a UK-EU customs union (CU) covering all goods including agriculture & fisheries? EU might agree industrial goods-only CU but agriculture vital for N Ireland border & EU won’t agree any future UK-EU deal without a deal on access to waters (for fisheries)
How many Labour pro-Brexit rebels will vote against a customs union? Are there enough Tory rebels to counter this? Not yet clear. If Westminster votes for a customs union, will the government fall – quite likely but not guaranteed. Will Corbyn demand a say in EU trade policy? 2.
Read 10 tweets

Trending hashtags

#EU #NoDeal #SexCult #engine #ChequersPlan #HardBrexit #AlQaeda #alcohol #cheese #US #Denmark #zero #penalties #UAE #USVIA #Ukraine #Europe #drug #poultry #CambridgeAnalytica #SayBraveThings #Syria #countries #Russia #amendment

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just three indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member and get exclusive features!

Premium member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year)

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!