Profile picture
Alberto Nardelli @AlbertoNardelli
, 4 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
The EU Thinks That Theresa May’s Week From Hell Has Increased Exponentially The Chances Of A No-Deal Brexit buzzfeed.com/albertonardell…
The most consequential amendment adopted by MPs this week is the one that makes EU backstop proposals to avoid a hard border in Northern Ireland illegal - it has substantially increased the chances of a no-deal Brexit
The details of UK-EU future relationship can be agreed after March. But a Northern Ireland backstop cannot be fudged, and is crucial to securing the withdrawal agreement and two-year transition.
MPs worried about tying the prime minister's hands, well, the EU thinks you just have. Diplomats have also been told that the amendment means that May has in effect backslided on commitments she made in December 2017 and March.
Missing some Tweet in this thread?
You can try to force a refresh.

Like this thread? Get email updates or save it to PDF!

Subscribe to Alberto Nardelli
Profile picture

Get real-time email alerts when new unrolls are available from this author!

This content may be removed anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @AlbertoNardelli see all

Profile picture
Brexit. Things are getting worse.

1. The withdrawal agreement is needed regardless of the shape of the future relationship. The withdrawal agreement on the table, including the backstop, will not be renegotiated. EU27 cannot be clearer on this point – and this is the key point.
2. Throughout these negotiations, so many problems have been created by N10’s inability & unwillingness to set realistic expectations, explain tradeoffs and communicate clearly. As the PM runs out of road, the confusion over the withdrawal agreement is the latest example
3. The political declaration allows for a full spectrum of future options, but it is not clear what kind of relationship the UK wants. This will require a proper debate on tradeoffs (and years of negotiation). However, whatever that option: you need the withdrawal agreement
Read 7 tweets
Profile picture
About last night:

1) May went to the meeting seeking legally-binded assurances with half-baked proposals to placate hard Brexiteers & DUP

These have been rejected repeatedly for obvious reasons. Backstop is an insurance policy not “a trap.” Not EU27 problem many MPs ignore this
2) May was asked by several leaders, and, I am told, most emphatically by Chancellor Merkel: 'what is it that you want?'

The prime minister was unable to provide an answer to this question with any precision.
That is where May is at in a nutshell: Nearly two years after triggering article 50, the UK does not have an answer to the question, "what do you want?"

There are also concerns that the UK – across the political spectrum – has no idea what kind of future relationship it wants.
Read 7 tweets
Profile picture
EUCO draft Brexit conclusions: I understand that paragraph 5 (EU stands ready to examine whether any further assurances can be provided..) has gone.
Par. 1, which wasn't in square brackets, is of course unchanged: "The Union stands by this agreement and intends to proceed with its ratification. It is not open for renegotiation."
Par 2 unchanged: EU reiterates wish for 'as close as possible partnership.." 'stands ready to embark on prep immediately after signature of WA to ensure negotiations can start asap after withdrawal'. Understand 27 discussed starting prep work on future deal as soon as UK ratifies
Read 12 tweets

Related threads

Profile picture
Theresa May has destroyed any chance of a decent Brexit.

How badly I feel for the people of the UK today! They got sold down a river.

Theresa should never have been the one to lead the negotiations. She never even believed in Brexit.

The UK won’t be great again.
Given the #Brexit deal on the table, the UK would be far better off leaving without a deal.

It astounds me that with all the problems they have, they keep electing the same government to lead them.

You’ve got great people like @Nigel_Farage who could’ve done a REAL job!
I don’t understand how a Prime Minister can lose 16 Cabinet Members within the space of a year and continue to govern.

These are people quitting on her. Not her firing them!

This woman needs to step aside. They’ve made a mockery of #Brexit and taken it up the rear from the EU!
Read 7 tweets
Profile picture
1) Germany’s Europe Minister @MiRo_SPD tells me #Brexit negotiations have been paused so the U.K. side can ‘go into a huddle’ - and ‘see how far they can go at home’. Mr Roth said the EU was also mulling over if it had any room to manoeuvre on its Irish border position
2) Depending on the outcome, Mr Roth told me, EU leaders would then decide whether or not to go ahead and call a November seal the deal #Brexit summit
3) If no seal the deal summit called in November on #Brexit, Germany’s Europe Minister told me there may be a No Deal summit convened amongst the EU 27 members instead
Read 7 tweets
Profile picture
1. Our current thinking is that the Chequers plan is totally unworkable. It is impractical and incompatible with EU and international law. The EU will reject it - but not immediately. It will use the time to plan for a no deal #Brexit
2. The general feeling, thanks to the propaganda of the Tory right is that the proposal is about as far as the UK can bend. This is odd because the proposal is not entirely dismiliar to some of the nonsense cooked up by pro-Brexit think tanks. Mrs May cannot win.
3. Mrs May could even adopt their alternative plans with some adjustments and the ultras would shift the goalposts again. They would cry betrayal at any concession. They are unappeasable. There is no deal they will support because they do not want a deal.
Read 20 tweets
Profile picture
1) Megathread - Yes, the #Brexit vote is illegitimate, and it's not elitist to say so

Simply put, a vote that is based on misconceptions and illusions but which *cannot* be reversed is an affront to democracy therefore the very concept of the referendum is illegitimate
2) So why was the #Brexit vote illegitimate? Well, broadly speaking:
1) The Brexit we "voted for" ends FoM, the ECJ & payments to EU
2) This will be severely damaging to the economy & jobs
3) If the public was asked today the same question but were told the above,Remain would win
3) Leave simply would not win if the costs of the #Brexit they promised were revealed honestly in a second referendum. The only way they could win is if these costs were obscured again

buzzfeed.com/albertonardell…
Read 13 tweets
Profile picture
THREAD (1) When the likes of Hannan feel the need to 'brush off' something so critical to the right-wing/neo-con #Brexit wet dream, we find digging a little deeper to be useful. After all, ground breaking 'shadow trade deals' with right-wing US think tanks is no small fish.
(2) In fact, given the growing negativity surrounding the #Brexit negotiations, compounded by the Govts' own damning economic analysis, one would have thought Hannan and Fox et al, would be shouting from the roof tops about their bespoke 'shadow US-UK trade deal.' Wouldn't you?
(3) The problem for our intrepid trade deal making duo, as almost always, is to be found in the detail; just what are, and who is, behind these neo-con US think tanks? Perhaps Daniel would enlighten us?
Read 21 tweets
Profile picture
#Brexit
1) Thread - All Brexits are bad and what we voted for
It's often said by brexiters that "it's not all about economics"
However, the *actual* Leave campaign was almost wholly about economic arguments

With the leak of this 2-8% report those arguments are now trashed
2) We seem to have forgotten this however economics played a huge part in the Vote Leave campaign, making up over 2/3rds of the primary arguements. The clear message was we would at the least be no worse off and at best much better off. 4 of the 6 below state this clearly
3) & the fact is voters believed we would be no worse off. People prioritized immigration certainly, but against a backdrop of there being no consequences from Brexit - few are prepared to actually pay for ending FoM
Read 36 tweets

Trending hashtags

#Brexit #9b #3a #citizensrights #11a #YACpolls #efta #PeoplesVote #Merkel #11b #EEA #4b #Neocon #TheresaMay #BrexitVote #WebSummit17 #ProjectFear #Lab18 #2b #EU27 #Unroll #EFTA #Tory #NHS #EU

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just three indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member and get exclusive features!

Premium member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year)

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!