This is wrong in an endless number of ways. Here are a few:
1. Political instability & regime transitions in non-democracies increase the chances of civil war, politicide, genocide, & severe state repression.
1. Political instability & regime transitions in non-democracies increase the chances of civil war, politicide, genocide, & severe state repression.
2. Iran's geography & demographic profile are a nightmare scenario for military operations; expect urban warfare in big, crowded cities to be MUCH WORSE than Mosul or Fallujah & a rural insurgency in mountains ala Afghanistan but with MANY more fighters
3. When countries experience political instability and conflict, violence & war spread across borders (b/c of refugee & weapon flows, cross-border co-ethnics, 3rd party interference, etc). Unstable Iran is VERY likely to destabilize MENA, central Asia, and beyond.
4. Refugee crises fueled by wars in smaller countries like Syria & Afghanistan have overwhelmed Europe. A refugee crisis fueled by a war in Iran will generate geopolitical instability of unparalleled proportions.
