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Richard Baris @Peoples_Pundit
, 5 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
1. If the election was held today, @FLGovScott would defeat incumbent @SenBillNelson. Not just new polls. Gov. Scott is running very strong among the 18-29 bloc, Hispanic voters and seniors. Senator Nelson has never polled this badly among seniors, who could dominate the vote.
2. We know our own state better than any other fake guru, politico, pundit or pollster. Senator Nelson simply cannot offset his deficit among seniors when Gov. Scott is holding down the margins among traditional Democrat voting blocs, and trouncing him everywhere else.
3. Just got a question about what Bill Nelson has to do. First, he's got to firm up Hispanic support. Win back voters w/ pre-Obama history of split tickets; seniors, white men & women age 30-44, conservative-leaning Hispanic females 30-44. He's not doing any of that, nor TWT #1.
FTR & naysayers: Percentage-to-votes, we missed Rick Scott's 2014 margin over Charlie Crist by 4,000 votes. Final #PPDPoll, Scott +1. I'm terribly sorry. We tried to do better in 2016 but missed @realDonaldTrump's by 0.2%. Again, I'll try harder next time. peoplespunditdaily.com/news/elections…
5. Also FTR, the lazy & the naysayers: We did publish the final ranking & result on October 20. But never felt the need to add more than an update to the article because it never changed.
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