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Election Maps UK @ElectionMapsUK
, 4 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Local by-elections 16th August preview thread:

2 LAB Defences
1 CON Defence
1) East (Bury)

- LAB Defence
- Previous Result (2018): LAB 59%, CON 34%, GRN 7%
- Standing: CON, LAB, LDM, UKIP, GRN
- Prediction: LAB Hold
2) Gwynthi (Neath Port Talbot)

- LAB Defence
- Previous Result (2017): LAB 56%, IND 44%
- Standing: CON, LAB, PLC, IND (x3)
- Prediction: LAB HOLD
3) Knaresborough (N. Yorkshire)

- CON Defence
- Previous Result (2017): CON 39%, LDM 35%, LAB 11%, GRN 9%, UKIP 7%
- Standing: CON, LAB, LDM
- Prediction: LDM GAIN
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Which election system would you prefer to be used in UK General Elections?

(Re-doing to add another option)
Ironically this poll has to be carried out using FPTP 😂
Videos explaining MMP and STV if you're unfamiliar:

MMP:
STV:
Read 3 tweets
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If 2017 election result was repeated on the new election boundaries:

CON: 308
LAB: 232
LDM: 7
SNP: 33
GRN: 1
DUP: 10
SF: 7
PLC: 2

CON Majority of 16 (23 excluding SF).
Via Rawlings & Thrasher.
How parties would be affected (based on % of seats won).

SYSTEM BENEFITS:

CON (+2.4%)
DUP (+0.2%)
SF (+0.2%)
SNP (+0.1%)
GRN (+0.0%)

SYSTEM HARMS

LAB (-1.6%)
LDM (-0.6%)
PLC (-0.3%)
IND (-0.2%)
The boundaries are drawn up by the boundary commission (an independent body). The new proposals actually make constituency population sizes fairer.

If you don't like the look of these results, I suggest you join @MakeVotesMatter, you should blame FPTP not the Tories.
Read 3 tweets
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Need an election fix? The Swedish G.E is happening today, and it looks very interesting.

The centre-left/left coalition (S+V+MP) are polling at ~40%.

The centre/centre-right coalition (M+C+L+KD) are polling at ~39%.

And the right-wing SD party are polling at ~18%.

#val2018
S = Social Democratic, C-Left, ~25% (-6)
V = Left, Left, ~10% (+4)
MP = Greens, C-Left, ~6% (-1)

M = Moderate, C-Right, ~17% (-6)
C = Centre, Centre, ~9% (+3)
L = Liberals, C-Right, ~6% (+1)
KD =Christian Democrats, C-Right, ~6% (+1)

SD = Sweden Democrats, Right, ~18% (+5)
First percentage is polling, change is with 2014 election.
Read 3 tweets

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