Thread by @JeSuisNaija

NIGERIA'S POPULATION - A PROBLEM
If crude oil price remain high and nobody in govt is stealing public funds:
▪Nigerians living below poverty line will continue to increase.
▪Nigeria wont ever be able to grow its GDP at a rate above 5%, even if unemployment rate is single digit.

The reason isn't far fetched. More than 20,000 babies are born daily, a total greater than 7 million babies born annually, leaving us at a population growth rate of 2.61%. Nigeria's monolithic oil economy is bound to crash under the weight of population growth, sooner than later.

As impact of our population explosion is subtly rattling FG's capability, none of the people rooting to be president is seeing it, and has mentioned it as a concern. @obyezeks and @MoghaluKingsley want to come and manage oil money, forgetting it has become grossly insufficient.

Younger aspirants are challenging PMB to a debate. Its like Slimcase challenging Onyeka Onwenu to dancing 'shaku shaku' in a contest where d judges are high on "saintsamiganja." Presidential aspirants shouldnt be debating within themselves. They should be debating with Nigerians.

The daftness behind @bukolasaraki's asking, "if Nigerians are better under Buhari," as an issue based argument sits atop mount Kilimanjaro.
The issues are:
▪ we are breeding faster than oil money can cater for.
▪the constitution mandates us to feed a draculian legislature.

▪the pricing of energy and its availability is a complex problem.
About energy, Nigerians are consuming 65Million litres of petrol daily without a functional refinery! Are we not mad? We are in an energy crisis; security crisis; health crisis; and worse of all, education crisis.

Aside corruption, none of these crisis can be divorced from an uncontrolled population growth. Unlike what China and India did, World Bank showed, after Nigeria hit its first full year economic decline in 1987, we've done nothing to pull breaks on population growth rate.

In 1987, Nigeria had a full year decline in GDP. We had recessions in 1991 & 1995 with economic decline of 0.6 & 0.3% respectively. Recently 2016, we had a contraction of 1.51%. See graphs of our population growth trend. For these periods, we continued to give birth like rabbits.

China had its highest population growth rate between 1966 - 1971, and had since been on decline (see graph). Same applies to India. Statistics showed a strong correlation between drastic decline in the population growth rate of these countries and incidental economic prosperity.

In our current population explosion predicament, help me thank @atiku for helping us thus far. We were told @atiku has several wives who have given him many children. By many, I dont mean 10. Reports says he has 26 children. What do we have if we divide our GDP by additional 26?

For d first time in our history, @MBuhari & @ProfOsinbajo has come up with a model for 2 child per woman, to pull back on what seems like a reproductive madness. This unprecedented initiative is in top gear. People like Atiku wont like it. That's d CHANGE!
google.com/amp/s/amp.puls…