Some quick #brexit thoughts after chats this AM in EU institutions and capitals.
The @theresa_may ring around hasn’t changed anything.
The EU can offer clarifications, not deep/legally binding changes. 1/thread
The @theresa_may ring around hasn’t changed anything.
The EU can offer clarifications, not deep/legally binding changes. 1/thread
Clearly isn’t enough.
At least not now. All of these changes are for those who “are in the mood to be persuaded”.
Instructive that May still can’t off clarity on these calls on what she wants. /2
At least not now. All of these changes are for those who “are in the mood to be persuaded”.
Instructive that May still can’t off clarity on these calls on what she wants. /2
Worth recalling that ERG wants an exit clause for Irish backstop. But does May?
That would lead to return to hard border in Ireland, or border in Irish Sea. And crash out on WTO terms. All of which May doesn’t want; that’s why she did this deal. /3
That would lead to return to hard border in Ireland, or border in Irish Sea. And crash out on WTO terms. All of which May doesn’t want; that’s why she did this deal. /3
So EU sources not at all clear its worth making concessions now that a) won’t work b) convince ERG types better deal is out there
May needs to have vote, to create space where concessions (say EU Legal Service saying A50 cannot be permanent, so backstop can’t be trap) might../4
May needs to have vote, to create space where concessions (say EU Legal Service saying A50 cannot be permanent, so backstop can’t be trap) might../4
Actually be enough.
That comes down to a call on whether May can survive loss.
- seems DUP won’t support No Confidence motion if Labour tables
- not clear if Party tips her out if 48 letter go in.
But it’s game time now.
5/Ends
That comes down to a call on whether May can survive loss.
- seems DUP won’t support No Confidence motion if Labour tables
- not clear if Party tips her out if 48 letter go in.
But it’s game time now.
5/Ends
