What many fail to realise is that our science is often biased ... in the direction of being too conservative.
Exhibit A: the unprecedented nature of current warming (thread)
Exhibit A: the unprecedented nature of current warming (thread)
Exhibit B: just how exceptional the present-day atmospheric CO2 level is. Left, from NCA4 Vol 1, published in Nov 2017. Right, one year later. 
Exhibit C: how quickly sea level rise is accelerating climate.nasa.gov/news/2680/new-… and risk of sunny-day flooding is increasing
Exhibit D: how well our models capture the self-amplifying feedbacks in the climate system. Source: science2017.globalchange.gov
And finally, exhibit E: our entire scientific assessment process, where both our own aversion to being labelled alarmist and our consensus-based design disproportionately favours and promotes the most conservative views. sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
