, 9 tweets, 4 min read Read on Twitter
1/ Let's go on a little journey. What if the history does indeed rhyme?
2/ Let's analyze the patterns between Baby Capitulation and Final Capitulation in 2014-2015.
3/ A number of similarities are present and this is what could happen if the cycle were to play out similarly.
4/ Why did I choose 140 day range above?

If @KunalDaSen chart below is correct, the cycles are lengthening in an airthmetic progression, with ~583 days added to the length of each subsequent cycle. Assuming this chart is ~correct, current cycle: 2073/1490=1.39 (+39% length)
5/ GaussTrendLine is a mean-reversion tool invented by @PNFtarget combining trigonometry, statistics, standard deviation for dynamic mean-reversion signals.
6/ Below is a clean, weekly view of the above prediction / scenario.

Note how the weekly Gauss is going to pierce the purple capitulation rectangle perfectly. It also implies 1700-2200 in the Spring of 2019 depending on how you draw it.
7/ Litecoin ($LTC) seems to be often leading the market recently. Gauss has worked remarkably well on LTC as of late. ~$25-27 LTC could signal as evidence of the market local bottom.
8/ The above ideas are also relevant to some of my previous observations.
9/ If the above dynamics are correct and history does indeed rhyme - which is a big if — We can expect a 1700-2200 bottom in the Spring (most likely April).
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