I wanted to figure out some point of reference as to how bad it might actually be #notmydebt #Robodebt 1/
The specific figure is 776 deaths for people aged under 45 in a population of ~410,000 debt notices 2/
But what does that MEAN? 3/
The population >15 years was ~19.5 million 5/
So the VERY CRUDE rate of death in the sample of robodebt recipients was about 0.1/0.07 = 40% higher than the national average 6/
Well, not that much. As I said, this is very crude. We know that the debt notices were probably sent to less healthy than average people (some of them were disability recipients, for example) 7/
What we CAN say is that ROBODEBT DEFINITELY DIDN'T CAUSE 776 DEATHS #notmydebt #robodebt 9/
End 10/
This is why peer review is important thank you @AndrewHayen