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Robert Peston
@Peston
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Given @theresa_may’s refusal to shift her Brexit red lines, the EU27 are determined not to bend theirs, as per this from draft council conclusions - “any unilateral commitment, statement or other act should be compatible with the letter and spirit of the WA”. What it means is...
that @theresa_may is being ordered not to promise any concession to Northern Ireland’s DUP that impairs the impact in any meaningful way of the backstop loathed by DUP and Tory ERG MPs. EU leaders are not making it any easier for her to win that crucial meaningful vote. In...
the words of one well-placed source here in Brussels, they know her deal is already dead.
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Robert Peston
@Peston
I am told cabinet secretary Mark Sedwill and attorney general Geoffrey Cox informed Cabinet that if at the end of the Letwin process MPs pass a motion mandating the PM to pursue a new route through the Brexit mess - perhaps a referendum, or membership...
of the customs union, or some other softer future relationship with the EU - the PM and government would be in breach of the ministerial code and the law if they failed to follow MP's instructions. I'll put out a blog on this in a bit. But this matters because it dispels...
impression created by PM, and certainly believed by many Brexiter MPs, that she would be at liberty to ignore the results of the Letwin scheme. Which means that if she brings back her deal for a meaningful vote on Friday, which is her current plan, that may be the last time...
Read 5 tweets
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Robert Peston
@Peston
All attention is focussed on whether the PM will announce her departure date tomorrow. But her Tory Brexiter critics are equally obsessed too that the talks on UK’s future relationship with EU should not be led on the Whitehall side by Olly Robbins. Well they won’t be but...
not because the PM has thrown him under a bus, though you would think she had if you’ve been following government leaks. In fact, senior Whitehall sources tell me Robbins himself has had quite enough of trying to reconcile the PM’s Brexit red lines with what the EU...
is able to negotiate and wanted to quit at Christmas. I am told he agreed to stay on till the PM’s deal is ratified by parliament (or, which now looks more likely, some other resolution of this first Brexit phase!). According to a friend of...
Read 5 tweets
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Robert Peston
@Peston
.@theresa_may conveyed no sense at Cabinet whether her ministers will be allowed to vote with their consciences tomorrow on @oletwinofficial's indicative votes, to find solution to Brexit mess. She has been warned by @AnneMilton that there could be 20 resignations from...
junior ranks of government to add to the three yesterday, if she does not allow free vote. Ministerial sources tell me that the four in the cabinet, @DavidGauke @AmberRuddHR Greg Clark and @DavidMundellDCT, who are seen as the leaders of the anti-no-deal rebels, won't resign...
There is a view among the ministers prepared to fight to the political death to prevent a no-deal Brexit that the quartet known as the Gaukward Squad are better off for now staying in the Cabinet, because if they quit the balance of the Cabinet would shift definitively towards...
Read 5 tweets

Related threads

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Tony Connelly
@tconnellyRTE
Worth noting: Page 2 of the EUCO draft conclusions warns there can be "no opening of the WA... Any unilateral commitment, statement or other act should be compatible with the letter and spirit of the WA."
I'm told this is a direct reference to Theresa May's letter to Tusk in which she signals her intention to "bring forward further domestic proposals that confirm my previous commitment to protect our internal market given the concerns expressed about the backstop."
In other words, the European Council draft warns May that any promises to the DUP must not undercut the backstop.
Read 3 tweets
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Alberto Nardelli
@AlbertoNardelli
NEW: #EUCO Brexit draft conclusions state: ‘The European Council commits to agreeing to an extension until *22 May 2019*, provided the WA is approved by the HoC next week. Given that The UK does not intend to hold elections to the EP, no extension is possible beyond that date'
The conclusions will also 'approve the instrument relating to the WA and the joint statement supplementing the PD agreed between the European Commission and the UK in Strasbourg on 11 March 2019'
The leaders will also "take note" of Theresa May's letter.
Read 8 tweets
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katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
EU has almost given up trying to understand what’s going on in UK.
Dutch PM Rutte compares Theresa May to Monty Python knight whose limbs get cut off in a duel but insists the fight was a draw. Elsewhere in EU, mood is darker esp with the prospect of a lengthy #Brexit delay 1
With UK politics mired in confusion, only thing EU can control this week is choreography at EU leaders’ summit, starting Thurs. Donald Tusk, EU Council president is visiting capitals to try to co-ordinate single EU response if/when Theresa May asks for article 50 extension 2
Today Tusk is in Berlin and Paris – the EU superpowers. But when it comes to delaying Brexit, any one of the EU’s 27 leaders has a veto. The decision must be unanimous 3
Read 16 tweets
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Pieter Cleppe
@pietercleppe
Here's a thread attempting to set out the #Brexit timetable for the next few months, based on this insightful @brunobrussels article:
thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/a…
Salzburg Summit 20 Sept:
"Shouting over the “backstop” + starting point of a '“political declaration” on the future relationship that will be thrashed out at a sequence of summits'
Tory party conference 1-3 Oct:
Hoping "Boris Johnson and the Brexiteers in the Conservative European Research Group" do not do anything to prevent the next planned steps
Read 12 tweets
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Nicolai von Ondarza
@NvOndarza
"#Brexit and EU agencies", our extensive look into third country relationships of the 36 EU agencies and how the UK might fit in.

swp-berlin.org/fileadmin/cont…

Albeit largely technical, agencies will have huge implications on Brexit.

Five points stand out in particular:
First, Agencies matter. Like the customs union, they are a technical aspect of the EU, that works and was thus hardly discussed in the UK before #Brexit.
But they are important for single market, but also justice and home affairs.

UK gov thus has already asked to continue participation in selected agencies, in particular in sectors important to the UK economy, like aviation, chemicals or pharma.
Read 10 tweets
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Lord Snoutintrough #FBPE
@Rowland72James
I have changed my mind on #Brexit and now accept it is the best thing that is happening to my country in my life time for the following reasons. Thread
I have come to realise that the EU will be hit worse by UK leaving single market as 8% of eurozone exports go to the UK but 44% of UK exports go to the EU clearly tge eu will be worse hit by a trade war
We will walk out not merely on the single market but every single trade treaty we now have with the entire world by ensuring all our exporters face worse trade terms this will toughen up lazy UK businesses and see unpatriotic ones go to the wall
Read 16 tweets

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