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Q: if PM May loses MV3 next week, how can she possibly stay on as prime minister?
She has said she could not back a longer extension.
She has said repeatedly that "this" is the only deal.
The EU27 have already bypassed her by agreeing a new 12/4 deadline.
And then this ⬇️ /1
She has said she could not back a longer extension.
She has said repeatedly that "this" is the only deal.
The EU27 have already bypassed her by agreeing a new 12/4 deadline.
And then this ⬇️ /1
And if she were to leave, between 29 March and 12 April, what does that mean for the Indicative Votes process?
And how would a Tory leadership contest interfere with the EU's new 12/4 deadline?
And, how wd a new Tory PM deal with the EU leading up to the new deadline?
/2
And how would a Tory leadership contest interfere with the EU's new 12/4 deadline?
And, how wd a new Tory PM deal with the EU leading up to the new deadline?
/2
The point is that some believe the EU has pulled off a masterstroke by deciding to go "up & over" PM May, taking over control and putting the UK Parliament in position to hold indicative votes.
But that assumes UK politicians will play along.
/3
But that assumes UK politicians will play along.
/3
I think Tory internal politics could throw a spanner into this plan.
Yesterday's events will go down badly among Brexiters who have started to shout "Humiliation".
Yesterday will serve Boris', Dominic's and David's narrative that it is all one big EU diktat.
/4
Yesterday's events will go down badly among Brexiters who have started to shout "Humiliation".
Yesterday will serve Boris', Dominic's and David's narrative that it is all one big EU diktat.
/4
To be clear, I think the EU27 did well. I am impressed.
But I do not think we are out of the woods.
Many questions remain. And the political uncertainty will continue.
/end
But I do not think we are out of the woods.
Many questions remain. And the political uncertainty will continue.
/end
