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Edwin Hayward🦄🏹🗡️
@uk_domain_names
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
The EU warns of what we know to be true: a UK Government administering its own post-Brexit environmental laws could sell us all down the river compared to the EU protection we currently enjoy. If not the current Government, any future Government could.
theguardian.com/politics/2019/…
Why? Because no UK Government can "tie the hands" of a future Government under domestic law. EU law would trump that. So right now, what the EU environmental laws do is provide a FLOOR below which we cannot weaken our own laws. (We can make ours stronger than that, if we want.)
After Brexit, that protection is gone. There is no floor any more. Boils down to this: "Do you trust the current UK Government, and all future UK Governments to come, to always look out for the best interests of the UK more than the EU does?"
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More from @uk_domain_names see all

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Edwin Hayward🦄🏹🗡️
@uk_domain_names
I believe the chance of a no-deal Brexit went up enormously yesterday. Several factors:
- Theresa May's announcement she would quit means there's less *personal* consequence if she allows it to happen. ("What's the worst they can do? Fire me?")
- Renewed focus on Brexiters
as a result of her announcement. Many would relish a no-deal scenario.
- Failure of PV or revoke-as-last-resort to secure majorities in 1st round of indicative votes. It was always very likely nothing would get a majority, but there's immense hostility in the HOC against round 2.
Taken together, the factors above have really shifted the needle towards no-deal.
Read 5 tweets
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Edwin Hayward🦄🏹🗡️
@uk_domain_names
Margaret Beckett's motion M (Confirmatory public vote) could have been won last night, were it not for 27 Labour MPs voting against and 18 abstaining. Just 14 of the 27 voting the other way would have done it. We always knew it would be Labour dependent. commonsvotes.digiminster.com/Divisions/Deta…
Here's the breakdown of the 27 and 18 MPs in question...
It's a classic "you had *one* job" situation. And they fluffed it on the night. Can you even begin to imagine the conversations (and headlines) if it had attained a majority?!
Read 8 tweets
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Edwin Hayward🦄🏹🗡️
@uk_domain_names
INDICATIVE VOTES
(Baron) No Deal 160 y n 400
(Boles) CM 2.0 188 y n 283
(Eustice) Efta & EEA 65 y n 377
(Clarke) CU 264 y n 272
(Corbyn) Labour 237 y n 307
(Cherry) Revoke to avoid No Deal 184 y n 293
(Beckett) Confirmatory vote 268 y n 295
(Fysh) Managed No Deal 139 y n 422
No majority for anything but there is clear blue water between the nutty unicorn/suicidal stuff and everything else.
Just a reminder that nobody really expected majorities to emerge during stage 1 of this 2-stage process.
Read 3 tweets

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katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
EU opinion divided this morning: those who fear creeping inevitability of no deal #Brexit , others are upbeat: say: the negotiated Brexit deal is the last option standing; others see possibility of longer Brexit extension for general elex/2nd ref /1
Ambassadors of the 27 EU countries meet in Brussels this morning to debate the #Brexit What's Next. Will discuss ongoing no deal preparations. Concerns in rest of EU that Dublin hasn't made sufficient preparations /2
While Dublin wants to insist there will be no hard border even in case f no deal #Brexit - others in EU - incl big player Germany - worrying about protecting single market if 500km border stays open. Berlin insists checks will be necessary though can be away from border /3
Read 4 tweets
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Tim Durrant
@timd_IFG
When all the #Brexit chat is about parliamentary shenanigans it’s easy to forget that these decisions will have real-world impacts, including a potential #nodeal… here’s a quick look at where #nodeal planning currently stands:
1. First the good news: the Government has struck agreements with the USA, Canada and 8 other countries to ensure flights can continue even in the case of no deal (nothing yet on flights to/from/within EU countries though)

gov.uk/government/new…
2. And the Government’s lottery for road haulage permits has opened – so if you’re a haulage company that wants to transport goods across the EU after a #nodeal Brexit, get your application in now for a 5% chance of securing a permit (h/t @RHANews)

gov.uk/guidance/ecmt-…
Read 10 tweets
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James Barisic 🇪🇺 #FBPE
@jamesmb
Right. I'm ready to call it! The UK government is aiming for the #Brexit negotiations to lead to:

- A Norway deal
- A 'Norway' v '#Remain' referendum.

I'll show my working below!

#stopbrexit #peoplesvote
Why Norway?

Well, the answer to that lies on the island of #Ireland. Due to the GFA, there are not many ways of squaring the circle of having the hard border that is required by the WTO, Northern Ireland remaining in the UK and the UK being outside the customs union.
So the options faced by HMG are:

1 - call a border poll and let Northern Ireland and the Republic reunite as a single entity. While the Conservatives are nominally the Conservative & Unionist Party, there are many who would not share a tear at the loss of NI....
Read 12 tweets
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Jill Rutter
@jillongovt
very interesting ideas for post-Brexit environmental governance from @CommonsEAC publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm201719/cm…
@CommonsEAC reflects a lot of the arguments in @instituteforgov evidence and in our report on devolution and #brexit instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publications/d…
@CommonsEAC @instituteforgov agree with @MaryCreaghMP that this is an opportunity for @michaelgove to show UK leading the way on environment .... (if eh can persuade his colleagues)
Read 3 tweets
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Nicolai von Ondarza
@NvOndarza
"#Brexit and EU agencies", our extensive look into third country relationships of the 36 EU agencies and how the UK might fit in.

swp-berlin.org/fileadmin/cont…

Albeit largely technical, agencies will have huge implications on Brexit.

Five points stand out in particular:
First, Agencies matter. Like the customs union, they are a technical aspect of the EU, that works and was thus hardly discussed in the UK before #Brexit.
But they are important for single market, but also justice and home affairs.

UK gov thus has already asked to continue participation in selected agencies, in particular in sectors important to the UK economy, like aviation, chemicals or pharma.
Read 10 tweets
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Lesley Miller
@LesleyMillercyp
#Brexit 1
Cadbury moved factory 2 Poland 2011 with EU grant.
Ford Transit moved 2Turkey 2013 with EU grant.
Jaguar Land Rover recently agreed 2 build a new plant in Slovakia with EU grant, owned by Tata, same company who trashed our steel industry & emptied workers pension funds.
#Brexit 2
Peugeot closed its Ryton (was Rootes Group) plant and moved production to Slovakia with EU grant.
British Army's new Ajax fighting vehicles to be built in SPAIN using SWEDISH steel at the request of the EU to support jobs in Spain with EU grant, rather than Wales.
#Brexit 3
Dyson gone 2 Malaysia, with EU loan. Crown Closures, Bournemouth (Was METAL BOX), gone 2Poland with EU grant,employed 1,200.
M&S manufacturing gone 2far east with EU loan.
Hornby models gone. In fact all toys & models gone from UK along with patents all with EU grants
Read 28 tweets

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