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Peter Ungphakorn
@CoppetainPU
, 19 tweets, 7 min read Read on Twitter
A thread on GATT Article 24 and the proposed Brexit options, since it’s likely to be mentioned.

It’s not just “Malthouse Plan B”. At least 10 of the 16 options have to comply with GATT Article 24

And then there’s GATS Article 5 for services



1/18
Reminder:

GATT Art24 applies to ANY free trade agreement in goods between WTO members such as the UK and EU.

GATS Art5 apples to ANY free trade agreement (or closer integration) in services between them.

All the options proposed are here: publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm201719/cm…

2/18
Borrowing from @DawnHFoster.

Option A (Bill Cash): Condemns the PM’s Brexit deal and today’s votes, bans MPs from ever doing this again without a two-thirds majority

GATT Art24/GATS Art5 — not relevant

3/18 Screenshot of option A from the Parliament website. All other images are similar
Option B (John Baron): Leave the EU without a deal on April 12

GATT Art24/GATS Art5 — don’t apply

4/18
Option C (John Baron) Leave the EU on May 22 after rewriting the Irish backstop

GATT Art24 — backstop must comply with GATT Art24.
GATS Art5 — doesn’t apply

5/18
Option D (Nick Boles): Common Market 2.0/18orway-plus

GATT Art24 and GATS Art5 — must comply with both

6/18
Option E (Will Quince): Reaffirms Britain must leave the EU

GATT Art24 — if with free trade agreement in goods must comply.
GATS Art5 — ditto for services

7/18
Option F (Garth Snell): Leave the EU with a customs union

GATT Art24 — must comply.
GATS Art5 — doesn’t apply if no deal on services

8/18
Option G (Angus MacNeil): Revoke Article 50

GATT Art24 and GATS Art5 — must comply with both (assumed already the case)

9/18
Option H (George Eustice): Norway option (but no customs union)

GATT Art24 and GATS Art 5 — must comply with both

10/18
Option I (Ian Blackford): No Brexit without the consent of the Scottish parliament and Welsh assembly

GATT Art24/GATS Art5 — not relevant

11/18
Option J (Ken Clarke): Leave the EU with a customs union

GATT Art24 — must comply.
GATS Art5 — doesn’t apply if nothing on services.

12/18
Option K (Jeremy Corbyn): Labour’s Brexit plan — Customs union plus alignment on future EU rights and regs

GATT Art24 — must comply.
GATS Art5 — must comply if close alignment means services included

13/18
Option L: (Joanne Cherry): Revoke Article 50 in the event of no deal.

GATT Art24 and GATS Art5 — must comply with both (assumed already the case)

14/18
Option M (Margaret Beckett): Any withdrawal agreement must be put to a second referendum

GATT Art24 and GATS Art5 — not relevant (although might be for a withdrawal agreement)

15/18
Option N (Nicky Morgan): Malthouse Compromise Plan A — Replace backstop with technical solutions

GATT Art24 — must comply
GATS Art5 — doesn’t apply if services not included

16/18
Option O (Marcus Fysh): Malthouse Plan B — Seek “standstill” agreement with the EU while negotiating trade deal

GATT Art24 — must comply
GATT Art5 — doesn’t apply if services excluded

17/18
Option P (Marcus Fysh): Attempt to manage no-deal Brexit

GATT Art24 — must comply if involves free trade in goods (unclear)
GATS Art5 — must comply if involves integration in services (unclear)

So, repeat, at least 10 of the 16 options have to comply with GATT Article 24

18/18
P.S. I know, I know, that was awfully dry. So here's something more colourful

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More from @CoppetainPU see all

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Peter Ungphakorn
@CoppetainPU
RT-ing this👇🏾from January, since "leaving on WTO terms is just fine" is back on the agenda.

With linked analysis, data, comment from @rjbarfield1, @UKTradeForum, @wto, @commonslibrary, @anandMenon1,@uk_tpo, @UKandEU, @SamuelMarcLowe, as well as mine

1/9
The idea that leaving the EU on WTO terms alone will only have a minor impact on the UK is just wishful thinking.

@DmitryOpines has also written and spoken a lot about this.

For example: explaintrade.com/blogs/2018/12/…

2/9
Or you can watch @DmitryOpines in this 5-minute video from a couple of days ago

3/9
Read 14 tweets
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Peter Ungphakorn
@CoppetainPU
A reminder.

"Let's go WTO" doesn't mean what people think it means.

1/4 Image of WTO building, with WTO text logo. Text says: 'GO WTO OMC'?
The UK is already a WTO member.

2/4 Image of WTO front gatepost with WTO OMC text logo. Text says
And as a WTO member, the UK is already bound by WTO rules.

That means the UK is ALREADY "going WTO"

3/4 Image of lakeside wall of the WTO, with text logo for WTO-OMC. Text says
Read 4 tweets
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Peter Ungphakorn
@CoppetainPU
Finally, over a month after some of us pointed it out (in my case on the deal with Switzerland), this is getting proper attention. Those rolled over free trade agreements are not what @LiamFox and @tradegovuk are claiming. Thanks @BenChu_ and @uk_tpo
I tried to point this👆🏾 out by email to @guardian & @RJPartington after they published this👇🏾 story a week ago. No reply.

Let's hope they take note now. There's far too much false information about Brexit. What's needed is policies based on facts.

theguardian.com/business/2019/…
In case anyone is wondering, here's how the Swiss govt itself has explained the Swiss-UK deal, with clear differences between the Withdrawal Agreement's transition (the UK treated as if it was still an EU member) and "no deal" or after the transition.

tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2019/02/12/uk-…
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