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Stephen Wolf
@PoliticsWolf
, 9 tweets, 3 min read Read on Twitter
Breaking: Delaware has joined the National Popular Vote Compact after Democratic Gov. John Carney signed the bill a short while ago (via press release). Once New Mexico's Dem gov signs a similar bill, the compact will have 189 of the 270 electoral votes needed to take effect
Check out the rest of this thread & article for how Democrats could pass the National Popular Vote Compact into law by 2024. They're already taking steps to pass it this year in the 3 remaining states where they have full control of govt (ME, NV, & OR): dailykos.com/story/2019/2/1…
Dems are likely favored to flip both Virginia legislative chambers in 2019, & they could join the Popular Vote Compact if they do. From there, Dems have a chance to gain control of both chambers in 2020 in AZ, MN, NC, & PA (especially if NC's gerrymanders are struck down)
Even if Democrats fail to flip gerrymandered state legislative chambers in 2020, MI, NC, & PA are all poised to have much fairer districts after 2020 redistricting than they did this past decade. Dems could gain full control of those states plus AZ depending on the 2022 midterms
Consequently, if Dems gain unified control of state govts by 2020 or 2022 in AZ, MI, MN, NC, & PA, & if every Dem-run state joins the National Popular Vote Compact, it could reach the majority of Electoral College votes necessary to take effect by 2024 dailykos.com/story/2019/2/1…
This outcome is by no means guaranteed, but it's simply not far-fetched at all that the National Popular Vote Compact could be triggered into effect by 2024. That's especially likely if Trump gets reelected & 2022 is a Dem wave midterm like 2018 was
Of course, if Republicans ever win the popular vote & lose the Electoral College, you can be damned sure they'd be calling to eliminate it immediately (if not doing things far worse after incitement from Tucker Carlson & Fox News)
No, the National Popular Vote Compact isn't perfect, & it's guaranteed to spark lawsuits if it takes effect. But there's simply no plausible alternative to circumventing the Electoral College & having a national popular vote when Republicans unanimously oppose one person one vote
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More from @PoliticsWolf see all

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Stephen Wolf
@PoliticsWolf
Breaking: I've been informed that Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan's commission on redrawing the 6th Congressional District has chosen the map we submitted for its recommendation. I'll have more details soon, & you can read about our proposal here: dailykos.com/stories/2019/2… #MD06 #MDpol
If this map were to become law, #MD06 would flip from a 55-40 Clinton district to a 52-43 Trump one to comply with the court's ruling. No districts other than #MD06 & #MD08 would be redrawn, since only #MD06 was struck down
#MD08 would shift from to 65-31 Clinton to a very blue 78-18 Clinton. You can see our calculations for the proposed redrawn districts here: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
And for the existing districts here: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
Read 17 tweets
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Stephen Wolf
@PoliticsWolf
Whoa: TLC calculates Beto O'Rourke won a 76-74 majority of Texas state House districts, giving Dems a clear path to flipping the 9 seats they need for a majority. This is the most crucial chamber up in 2020 for congressional redistricting (h/t @trowaman) texastribune.org/2019/02/25/whe…
It almost blew up in their faces with several races only narrowly going GOP, but Texas' congressional gerrymander was a major boost to GOP in 2018. Under a nonpartisan map like this, they'd have likely lost 4 more districts (#TX06, #TX10, #TX23, & #TX25) dailykos.com/stories/2017/7…
Democrats flipping the Texas state House in 2020 & denying the GOP the power to gerrymander again after the census could be worth several congressional seats next decade, more than practically any other state
Read 5 tweets
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Stephen Wolf
@PoliticsWolf
This ruling is incredible! Both the voter ID & income tax cap amendments would be struck down because the court finds that North Carolina's Republican legislature lost its claim to popular sovereignty after it was elected by illegal gerrymanders #NCpol
Illegally gerrymandered legislatures should not have the power to amend the fundamental governing document of the state in ways that entrench their power. Hopefully this ruling survives a near-certain Republican appeal
Excellent question. The only other constitutional amendment passed since the GOP-gerrymandered legislature took office after 2012 was a 2014 measure letting criminal defendants waive their right to a jury trial, which legislators passed almost unanimously
Read 8 tweets

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Sotiri Dimpinoudis ❁‏
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❌Sheila G "Nationalist" NV⭐️⭐️⭐️
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1/Attn Nevada: AB186 Nevada National Popular Vote is going before the House. We need your help in opposing this!!! You can submit your feedback by clicking on this document and scroll down and click on the blue link for AB186. docs.google.com/document/d/181…
2/This bill is an end run around the Constitution and circumvents the Electoral College. It will make small states like Nevada meaningless fly over states in the Presidential Election. The Electoral College protects us from Vote Fraud providing 51 individual elections in
3/the states and District of Columbia not just one election which can more easily be stolen. The Electoral College protects us against the instability of nationwide recounts and endless lawsuits. The Electoral College has worked well for over 200 years providing a peaceful
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Heshmat Alavi
@HeshmatAlavi
#BREAKING
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Sam Wang
@SamWangPhD
Actually, no. For example, in 2016 the minimum number of jurisdictions needed to reach Hillary Clinton’s popular majority was 39 states plus DC.

But let’s get serious. Let’s review origins, consequences, & flaws of the Electoral College.

[here beginneth the thread]
The Electoral College was part of the same compromise that led to the apportionment of the House and Senate. (Recall that each state gets electors = members of House and Senate combined.)

A major, major driving force was slavery.
House-type electors were (and are) proportional to population. But how to count slaves? Under the logic of slavery, it would not be fitting for them to vote. But their owners wanted the power of their numbers. So they counted for three-fifths of a person each.
Read 35 tweets
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Amy Spitalnick
@amyspitalnick
#BREAKING: NY AG Barbara Underwood secures a stipulation dissolving the Trump Foundation under judicial supervision, w/ AG review to ensure charitable $ goes to reputable orgs. This is a key piece of the relief sought in her June suit.

The AG's suit remains ongoing.
Underwood: "Our petition detailed a shocking pattern of illegality...Trump Foundation functioned as little more than a checkbook to serve Trump's business & political interests."

Ongoing suit still seeks millions in restitution & penalties, bar on Trump & kids serving on boards.
Full details here: ag.ny.gov/press-release/…
Read 5 tweets

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