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Paul Brand
@PaulBrandITV
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
NEW: Source from 1922 tells me tonight’s meeting focused on PM’s future...

“General view was she has to get a Withdrawal Agreement through and then go. However, if this goes beyond May 22nd, she’ll be in difficulties.”
Understand 1922 Executive have suggested to PM she brings back the Withdrawal Agreement Bill (WAB) to Commons for vote, but with backstop removed. They want her to use Brexit delay to renegotiate the WA, which EU insists cannot be reopened. And round we go... 🤪
These tweets refer to 1922 executive meeting btw, as opposed to meeting of whole 1922.
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Paul Brand
@PaulBrandITV
BREAKING: In statement from Downing St, PM says she will seek further extension to Article 50
PM says extension would be “as short as possible” to pass a deal. What’s not clear is whether EU would grant it.
While PM speaks Andrea Leadsom has just sneaked out
Read 5 tweets
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Paul Brand
@PaulBrandITV
BREAK: Results of indicative votes Y/N:
🔹No Deal 160 - 400
🔹Common Market 2.0 188 - 283
🔹EFTA/EEA 65 - 377
🔹Customs Union 264 - 272
🔹Labour Plan 237 - 307
🔹Revoke A50 184 - 293
🔹2nd Ref 268 - 295 ⭐️
🔹WTO 139 - 422

NOTHING has a majority! 2nd ref got largest vote.
After a rollercoaster day, this is helpful for PM. Shows that there is not a majority for anything, but two of these options (customs union, second ref) got bigger support than her own deal.
It is worth noting just how far a second referendum has come in past two years. At first a fringe idea, confined to Lib Dem conference and a few other forums, it now persuades large chunks of the Labour benches and it would seem Tory benches too after tonight.
Read 3 tweets
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Paul Brand
@PaulBrandITV
BREAKING: Understand PM going for Meaningful Vote 3 tomorrow. Only after that will she will consider indicative votes.
Also understand PM due to speak to @DUPleader this lunchtime (as well as Jeremy Corbyn). Early reports say cabinet did not raise her future as PM, but there's a tacit understanding that it is "linked to the vote" tomorrow.
Cabinet did discuss indicative votes, but understand there was no agreement (as you'd expect). Brexiteers were firmly against, others more in favour. Am told "no conclusive remarks" from the PM on whether or not to hold them, but MV3 is focus for now.
Read 7 tweets

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Staedtler
@Staedtler
There's something else we've all forgotten in all the excitement. Remember Theresa May had a two-year parliament in expectation she would have Brexit done by now?

Well, her two year parliament expires this summer.
And that means Theresa May is going to have to present a new Queen's speech to parliament this September.

And she's not going to get a Queen's speech through.
And if Theresa May can't get a Queen's speech through parliament in September - and she must know this - it means she has to get her withdrawal agreement through parliament before the summer recess.

And that means before the end of June.
Read 9 tweets
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Jason J Hunter
@JasonJHunter
1/12 Time for a bit of analysis? So EU27 have agreed an extension of A50 until October 31st with a review of progress in Westminster at the end of June.
2/12 TM the PM is still saying that she wants the UK to leave the EU before May 22nd European elections so UK doesn't have to participate in electing MEPs.
3/12 I dont think shes thought that through tho since candidates have to be announced to EU electoral commission within the next week or two. If we haven't left by April 14th then we will have to campaign to win as many pro-remain seats as possible.
Read 13 tweets
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Staedtler
@Staedtler
Letwin-Cooper passes the final stage in the Lords today, and gets royal assent tomorrow.
So. How does Letwin-Cooper actually work, you say.
Letwin-Cooper requires that the day after the Act receives royal assent, exactly this motion must be put to the House of Commons
"That this House agrees for the purpose of the European Union (Withdrawal) Act 2019 to the Prime mInister seeking an extension of the period specified in Article 50 (3) of the Treaty on European Union to a period ending on [ . . .]"
Read 12 tweets
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Staedtler
@Staedtler
For the rest of us on planet earth, we want to know when Brexit is going to die.
It would have died yesterday if Lord Twatters hadn't taken the piss.
The new schedule.

Monday - Cooper/Letwin finishes in the Lords and becomes law, mandating Theresa may to ask for a long extension, which will turn out to be a year at least.

Brexit will die right there.
I doubt there will be a formal announcement because English politicians think that if they don't mention it, we will never notice it.

nevertheless, Brexit will die on Monday
Read 13 tweets
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Staedtler
@Staedtler
The print deadline missed the big news last night, and none of today's papers have got yesterday's earthquake.

Letwin-Cooper passed by 1 vote.
First of all the Letwin-Cooper Bill goes to the Lords today, but nobody expects any trouble there. It should go through and get its royal assent tomorrow.
The meaning of Letwin-Cooper.

It stops Theresa May using the threat of no deal to blackmail parliament into voting for her withdrawal agreement.
Read 8 tweets
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Faisal Islam
@faisalislam
Minister tells me of a meeting of ministers with the PM in Downing St now following the third defeat of her Withdrawal Agreement... not about standing down but significant, nonetheless.
This delegation of ministers in Downing Street is urging the PM to say no to a softer Brexit and to go for No Deal Brexit
So @SamCoatesTimes says that dozens of MPs next week have a tutorial scheduled on what the customs union is from some trade experts...
Read 5 tweets

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