Thread by @sturdyAlex

THREAD on the European Election MEGAPOLL of over 10,000 voters commissioned by @bestforbritain, its implication and the launch of an amazing tool tool to help Remainers choose for whom to vote. Please amplify across all social media. #EUelections19

bestforbritain.org/vote

There are two rational ways to break down the figures:

NO DEAL: 37% (BXP+UKIP)
EXIT with DEAL: 24% (Lab+Con)
REMAIN: 36% (LDs+Green+ChUK+SNP+PC)

Hard Brexit: 46% (BXP+UKIP+Con)
Soft Brexit: 51% (LDs+Lab+Green+ChUK+SNP+PC)

Figures are close in both cases, so turnout is vital.

In terms of maximising MEPs, @BestForBritain have launched this amazing tool, which translates regional figures from this huge poll into seats. Won’t tell you for whom to vote, but use the slider to shift % between Remain parties to see where gains are.
bestforbritain.org/vote

In the SW, for example, a shift of 1% between Remain parties, results in one fewer seat for the Brexit Party and gives the extra MEP to LibDems. As I understand it, turnout assumptions in the model are modest. So, Remain turnout outperforming assumptions can also result in gains.

Make sure you vote. Make sure you encourage others to. Make your voice heard. A big push right now can easily result in parties calling for a People’s Vote collectively outpolling those pushing for a disorderly No Deal. However politicians spin this, it would be significant. END

I wonder whether those Labour voices whose single argument these last few weeks has been everyone MUST vote for Labour because they’re the only party with any chance of beating Farage, will switch to full-throatedly supporting the LibDems now that they lead Labour in the polls.