Thread by @JohnRentoul

Final vote share, with changes from 2014 assuming the Brexit Party is Ukip's successor:
Brexit Party 32% +7
Lib Dem 20% +13
Labour 14% -11
Green 12% +4
Conservative 9% -15
SNP+PC 5% +1
ChangeUK 3% +3
Ukip 3% (27% last time, but Brexit+Ukip +7 w rounding)
bbc.co.uk/news/topics/cr…

And you know what that means? We have a winner of the sweepstake! The best guess was just 3 %age points out (+2 on Lab, -1 on Green)

Starting with an honourable mention for @John_S_Macleod – a total of 10 points out, but he entered on 1st day, 5 May, so did not have advantage of later opinion polls: Brexit 30%, Lab 15%, Con 10%, Lib Dem 18%, Green 8%, ChUK 3%

Then in 3rd place, congrats to @markygoodrich – just 6 points out (he had Lab +1, Con -1, Lib Dems +2, Greens -2). Two other entries were out by the same amount, but his was submitted 8 hours earlier

Just waiting for permission to publish the winner and the runner-up

Still waiting for the sweepstake runner-up to give permission to publish, so let us have a drum roll for the winner..

Congratulations to @sjeffrey01 who won the European elections sweepstake: his prediction was just 3 points out – Labour 2 points too high & Greens 1 point too low; other 4 parties exactly right