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Shadi Hamid
@shadihamid
, 6 tweets, 6 min read Read on Twitter
This from @OsitaNwanevu gets at a central tension: the very things that the new "nationalist conservatives" say they want are only liked to be addressed though higher—not lower—levels of immigration: newyorker.com/news/news-desk…
@OsitaNwanevu There is another incoherence in the nationalist worldview. If you applied the view below to Muslim countries, you'd have to make a major allowance for Islamist parties, yet many nationalists have been vehement supporters of Arab secular autocracy

nybooks.com/daily/2019/07/…
@OsitaNwanevu This is a really good @douthatnyt column on the conservative debate around nationalism and exceptionalism: nytimes.com/2019/07/16/opi…
@OsitaNwanevu @DouthatNYT Important point from @douthatnyt. I'm not sure I've heard it described in precisely this way👇🏽

nytimes.com/2019/07/16/opi…
@OsitaNwanevu @DouthatNYT Some fascinating findings from @brandoncgorman & @CharlieSeguin: washingtonpost.com/politics/2019/…
@OsitaNwanevu @DouthatNYT @brandoncgorman @CharlieSeguin This is an interesting exchange between @lumasimmsEPPC & Amy Wax at the nationalist conservativism conference: thefederalist.com/2019/07/26/her…
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More from @shadihamid see all

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Shadi Hamid
@shadihamid
Would a white Swedish male with Trump’s exact views be more of a threat to U.S. cultural cohesion than, say, a nonwhite Ghanaian with the views of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez?

I explore in my new @TheAtlantic piece: theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
@TheAtlantic And as @SWGoldman reminds us (and as @DavidAFrench has written), if white Christians see the decline of Christianity as destroying American culture, then they're better off having *more* nonwhite immigration from Africa & Latin America, since more of them would be Christian
@TheAtlantic This is also one of the topics @dmarusic & I discuss in the first (ever!) episode of our new podcast "The Wisdom of Crowds"

Listen to the whole thing here: wisdomofcrowds.live/2019/08/01/hea…
Read 3 tweets
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Shadi Hamid
@shadihamid
My new podcast with @dmarusic is real! It's called "The Wisdom of Crowds." Here's the first (ever) episode 👇
wisdomofcrowds.live/2019/08/01/hea…
@dmarusic This is something of an experiment, so if you do get a chance to listen to me and @dmarusic, we'd love to hear any feedback on how to make the podcast better or things that you thought did or didn't work
@dmarusic Basically, we read the NYT piece on "peak podcast" (nytimes.com/2019/07/18/sty…) and we thought to ourselves, well, maybe we can confuse people by starting a podcast right *during* the precise over-oversaturation of the genre
Read 4 tweets
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Shadi Hamid
@shadihamid
1. The political science literature on moderates winning elections developed when moderates actually won elections. Key assumptions of that work—that the median voter is in the center, requiring ideological parties to moderate—no longer necessarily hold in national elections
2. As I discuss in my book Temptations of Power (books.google.com/books?id=7W7eA…), the natural constituencies of Socialists and Christian Democrats in Western Europe were inherently limited, requiring them to move to the "middle." So it's partly a question of population distribution
3. In polarized contexts—including the US (but also across Europe, India, Israel, Brazil, Indonesia)—there's the issue of voter "inelasticity," which basically means that even when ideological parties moderate, their opponents will still see them as ideological
Read 6 tweets

Related threads

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Jon Aragón
@jondoulos
[NEW THREAD]

Unfortunately, for many there aren't viable pathways to citizenship. My family included.

See this video by @MatthewSoerens vimeo.com/293240885

#immigration
2/ Some of you have asked, “How could they have lived here for 19 years and still have been considered legal?” They were covered under various visas while petitions were filed over the years. A couple of those petitions (one filed in 2012) are STILL being processed.
3/ Yes, this happens. Don’t believe the false narrative that all immigrants can just fill out a few papers, pay a couple of fees, and suddenly they’re citizens. Again, see this video: vimeo.com/293240885
Read 24 tweets
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lomikriel
@lomikriel
#immigration twitter: I know it’s a holiday weekend but on my mind: anyone interested in a private group discussion about how to identify / photograph potential asylum seekers/ migrants possibly in danger? I’m thinking this is ongoing journalism ethics discussion that is evolving
I’m just gauging initial interest (I don’t want to lead this) but thinking it could be a worthy off the record discussion to have with perhaps some outside experts weighing in and real life journos giving the reality.
It just seems like a lot has changed under Trump/ realities external pressures in CentAm et al and it could be a worthy (though difficult) discussion and it would of course have to be off record to be helpful. Anyway just thinking out loud.
Read 4 tweets
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Richard James
@RichJamesBits
I have reached a whole new level of #PISSEDOFF.

I didnt think such a #dark and #scary state, or level, could be reached. It may top 12-14-17's causation. It's. That. Bad. So, I've prepared a statement...

docs.google.com/document/d/1_J…

#PascoSheriff #HaveYouAllNoShame @CigarCityBeer
Dear @FBI,
I must implore you ask your colleauges in @FBITampa to help research this new level of #PISSEDOFFNESS. As locals, they may offer a special indepth knowledge of this new level I have reached. This is not fair & law enforcement must #investigate. No one deserves this.
This is my #apogee of #Pissedoffness.
If #motherfuckers & #tears werent a noticable level.
If #HUSH or #INTIMIDATION tactics being deployed didnt strike a chord.
If #EVIDENCE, PROOF, or 30k Bonds didnt #WOW YOU.
If posting mom with no shred of investigatable value wasnt enough...
Read 463 tweets
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Zafar Shaikh
@zafargs79
#New Traders, Understand #Mathematics Of #Profit In Market Before You Put Hard #Earned Money On Risk.

Expectancy = Success Rate x Reward Risk Ratio

Lets Talk About Expectancy Of Short Term Directional Trading System.

Read On (1/n)
Success Rate = No Of Profitable Tades/ No Of Loss Making Trades

Reward Risk Ratio = Average Profit Per Trade / Average Loss Per Trade

If Success Rate is 0.5 and Reward Risk 2, Then

Expectancy = 2 x 0.5 =1

For Making Profit, Expectancy Should Be Positive Number (2/n)
To Calculate Expectancy, You Need Defined System With Rules To Get Success Rate and Reward Risk. If You Have No System To Take Decisions, You Are Hanging In Thin Air and Will Never No Whether You Will Keep Making Or Loosing Money In Future (3/n)
Read 12 tweets
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ARC 2020
@ARC2020eu
#NEW on ARC2020: #CAP & #MFF | Eco-Spin without Public Goods Substance.
Its been 2 weeks since the MFF proposals, here's our round up of some of the perspectives so far.
All perspective-givers tagged in picture.
arc2020.eu/cap-mff-eco-sp…
What's needed?
@davidbaldock & Allan Buckwell of @IEEP_eu:
1: Sufficient funding for environmental measures in Pillar 1
2: Specifics for New Delivery Model
3: Flexibility for Pillar 1 to 2 transfers
4. Fund ANCs under Pillar 1
arc2020.eu/cap-mff-eco-sp…
#MFF #FutureofCAP #CAP
And who said: "unconditional direct income support to farmers is manifestly absurd in today’s world when it maintains uncompetitive farming practices that have negative implications for the climate, the environment or people’s health"?
Why @AnnikaAhtonen of @epc_eu
Read 8 tweets
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Laura Helmuth
@laurahelmuth
If you would ever like advice on negotiating a raise, promotion, or compensation for a new job, I am happy to help. Optional consulting fee: Buy me a drink sometime. Real consulting fee: Pay it forward when you can. Ahem, a thread.
A few general principles: It is VERY hard to advocate for yourself or talk about money, especially if you don’t come from money.
Please, please: Do it anyway.
Read 24 tweets

Trending hashtags

#hack #CloseTheCamps #NEW #Oregon #pattycake #cunt #9PMRoutine #Immigration #HaveANiceDay #GoshDarn #CA #GoodDay #Shadowbannned #CHCCS #This #Florida #FamilyRaids2019 #movie #PROSECUTION #Governor #ThisIsPasco #Breadcrumbs #Illinois #THANKYOU #DianeAugat
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