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Adam Payne
@adampayne26
, 4 tweets, 3 min read Read on Twitter
While the PM was in Berlin, I went to NI to meet people whose businesses rely on the seamless border with the ROI

There I saw decades-old and family businesses, preparing to relocate, downsize, or be wiped out

My trip to County Down & County Armagh businessinsider.com/brexit-irish-b…
Michael runs a 4th-gen bakery in NI which has 2 shops in the ROI

He said tariffs will stop the bakery selling to EU supermarkets as it does now

He wants to stockpile bread but there are no warehouses available

“I honestly don’t know what the answer is" businessinsider.com/brexit-irish-b…
Arthur sells tractor parts from his NI base in Cullaville, a few hundred yards from the border

But 90% of his customers are in the ROI

New tariffs/checks will force him to move south after nearly 40 years in NI

"We would like to be left how we are" businessinsider.com/brexit-irish-b…
Bernard, an accountant for border farmers based in County Armagh, said some farms will be "decimated" in the event of border checks/tariffs

"I was speaking to one unionist farmer a fortnight ago, and he said his business will be gone"

businessinsider.com/brexit-irish-b…
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More from @adampayne26 see all

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Adam Payne
@adampayne26
Justine Greening took a lot of persuasion - a phone call from Amber Rudd, I’m led to believe - to not quit the Tories earlier this year.
Allies of Sam Gyimah are not denying suggestions that he's soon going to be unveiled as a Lib Dem MP
Sam Gyimah has joined the Liberal Democrats
Read 6 tweets
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Adam Payne
@adampayne26
Yellowhammer is here... gov.uk/government/pub…
Yellowhammer on day 1 of no deal:

- 50-85% of HGVs "may not be ready" for French checks
- This could reduce flow of HGVS to 40-60% of current rate
- This might not improve by a "significant level" — 50-70% of current levels — for 3 mths
- HGVs could be delayed by 1.5-2.5 days
Yellowhammer on how no deal could impact food:

"Certain types of fresh food supply will decrease"

"will reduce availability & choice of products and will increase price... could impact vulnerable groups"

Panic buying could worsen food supply disruption

Xmas busiest time of yr
Read 7 tweets
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Adam Payne
@adampayne26
New: In NI tensions are rising and there’s growing fear that in a few weeks, a hard border will emerge and become a focus of sectarian violence

“I'm starting to hear things that I haven't heard in a long time," cross-community worker Eileen Weir told me businessinsider.com/brexit-norther…
NI officials fear disobedience within days of new border infrastructure going up. Ordinary members of the public say they’ll tear it down. “If 60% of people do not want a border...and you say 'tough shit... you cannot expect people to just choke that down”businessinsider.com/brexit-norther…
HMG + Alternative Arrangements group are accused of not grasping what MLA @StephenFarryMLA called the “emotional & psychological impact” of change to the status quo. Young people are questioning their identity for the first time, activist @FinnDoire said. businessinsider.com/brexit-norther…
Read 3 tweets

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Richard James
@RichJamesBits
I have reached a whole new level of #PISSEDOFF.

I didnt think such a #dark and #scary state, or level, could be reached. It may top 12-14-17's causation. It's. That. Bad. So, I've prepared a statement...

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Dear @FBI,
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If #motherfuckers & #tears werent a noticable level.
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If posting mom with no shred of investigatable value wasnt enough...
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Rob Tannenbaum
@tannenbaumr
Saw U2’s sixth U.S. show, at the Main Event in Providence, 80 people, then again a few months later at CenterStage in RI. Saw R.E.M. at the Living Room in Providence two or three times, same 80 people. #old
Saw Throwing Muses play “dollar night” for 20 people; if you showed up, they gave you a dollar.
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🎄🔶🌸❄️Sakura To Yuki No Seirei❄️🌸🦋⚢⚧
@SakuraNoSeirei
So, I've waded through the Evangelical Alliance's new pastoral "guidelines" for interacting with trans people (ughh, the things I do to expose #transphobic #ciswits to the world), and let's just say it's time to tear this particular sh*t-bag a new hole.

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Rin is hiatus-ing|THE NEVER TILTING WORLD 10/15/19
@RinChupeco
Speaking as someone born in the last years of a dictatorship, you Americans are already several steps in one.

Ferdinand Marcos' greatest trick was convincing people all protesters were communist animals, so when they went missing, few cared. Even after bodies were discovered.
These white people & journalists talking about being civil? These were the rich people, the Fil-Chinese, the mestizos in the Philippines who knew they won't be affected by many of Marcos' policies, and therefore could ignore them even as the killings started.
Marcos was also adept at convincing regular Filipinos that "as long as you don't commit crimes I won't come for you. I'm only getting rid of the 'filth'." He lied, of course. He jailed his most vocal opponents, people whose businesses he wanted to confiscate for his use.
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Katy Hayward
@hayward_katy
Interesting polling covering GB, NI & IRL. More evidence of layering of Leave/Remain differences upon existing polarisation within NI.
This is why zero-sum (ie land v. sea #border) #brexit narratives (& poss. outcomes) pose direct risks to peace & the Agmt lordashcroftpolls.com/2018/06/brexit…
I can't help but say, tho, that the phrasing of some of the Qs asked is unfortunate, e.g. on possible 'different status' of NI (ref. customs checks in sea ports) or a hard border risking paramilitary attacks.
This serves to *perpetuate* distortions of sensitive & nuanced matters.
+ as for the statement (for respondents to agree/disagree with) on technological solutions --
"Modern technology would allow any customs checks to be done quickly and easily, so a border would not be damaging or disruptive" --
What purpose/value does this have in an opinion poll?
Read 3 tweets
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Femi
@Femi_Sorry
I'm not an economist. I'm a law grad. So for me, economically, it was just about the cost/burden of having different laws to our main trading partner.
So, having not left the EU, I thought we'd be doing BETTER than we are now. I remember feeling shocked hearing this:
Which is why It's always been so frustrating hearing Brexiters say "See! Everything's fine now! Can't trust any of you 'experts'".
When that referendum result came in NOTHING ACTUALLY CHANGED. All we had was speculation about a future change (Single Market, Customs Union etc...)
Brexit = UK Leaving the EU. That hasn't happened.
Right now we have a moving train whose tracks lead off a cliff. There's some panic on board. Some people have jumped off. But many people are saying, "You said we'd crash, but we're fine now, so we can't trust you"
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