,
7 tweets,
3 min read
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Yellowhammer is here... gov.uk/government/pub…
Yellowhammer on day 1 of no deal:
- 50-85% of HGVs "may not be ready" for French checks
- This could reduce flow of HGVS to 40-60% of current rate
- This might not improve by a "significant level" — 50-70% of current levels — for 3 mths
- HGVs could be delayed by 1.5-2.5 days
- 50-85% of HGVs "may not be ready" for French checks
- This could reduce flow of HGVS to 40-60% of current rate
- This might not improve by a "significant level" — 50-70% of current levels — for 3 mths
- HGVs could be delayed by 1.5-2.5 days
Yellowhammer on how no deal could impact food:
"Certain types of fresh food supply will decrease"
"will reduce availability & choice of products and will increase price... could impact vulnerable groups"
Panic buying could worsen food supply disruption
Xmas busiest time of yr
"Certain types of fresh food supply will decrease"
"will reduce availability & choice of products and will increase price... could impact vulnerable groups"
Panic buying could worsen food supply disruption
Xmas busiest time of yr
Yellowhammer on medicine:
It is "particularly vulnerable" to severe extended delays as supply chains are complex, highly-regulated
Delays will "reduce our ability" to prevent & control disease, creating "direct" risk to human health
Stockpiling will not match March levels
It is "particularly vulnerable" to severe extended delays as supply chains are complex, highly-regulated
Delays will "reduce our ability" to prevent & control disease, creating "direct" risk to human health
Stockpiling will not match March levels
Yellowhammer direct quote on civil unrest:
"Protests and counter protests will take place across the UK and may absorb significant amounts of police resource. There may also be a rise in public disorder and community tensions"
"Protests and counter protests will take place across the UK and may absorb significant amounts of police resource. There may also be a rise in public disorder and community tensions"
On HMG's Irish border plan:
“Unsustainable due to significant economic, legal and biosecurity risks and no effective unilateral mitigations”
Replacement may be needed within days
Tariffs & checks will cause some businesses to "stop" trading or relocate, agri-food hardest hit
“Unsustainable due to significant economic, legal and biosecurity risks and no effective unilateral mitigations”
Replacement may be needed within days
Tariffs & checks will cause some businesses to "stop" trading or relocate, agri-food hardest hit
On Gibraltar:
New border checks w/ Spain will disrupt supply of food, medicine + create delays of 4+ hours for people crossing lasting "for at least a few months"
Longer-term delays are "likely to adversely impact" its economy
All worst case scenario, of course...
New border checks w/ Spain will disrupt supply of food, medicine + create delays of 4+ hours for people crossing lasting "for at least a few months"
Longer-term delays are "likely to adversely impact" its economy
All worst case scenario, of course...
