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, 5 tweets, 3 min read
My latest blog is now on @lsebrexitvote. In it, I think about how the opposition might react to the weekend's events. I argue that the opposition parties face a key strategic choice. blogs.lse.ac.uk/brexit/2019/10… 1/
Either they continue to fight for a better Brexit (and risk remaining divided); or they accept that Johnson's deal is Brexit, and unite to fight against it. 2/
I argue that they should accept that Brexit has now been defined (notwithstanding the fact that it will be a difficult step for those who want a better Brexit to take). 3/
Would be very interested in others' thoughts. I'm not sure that the argument is right. I acknowledge that there are risks with accepting Johnson's definition, but I don't see how seeking to redefine Brexit leads to a clear path forward. 4/4
References in the blog to @StevePeers @rdanielkelemen and @anandMenon1. Big questions for @UKLabour @LibDems and @theSNP to tackle. The key is whether you can unite.
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More from @syrpis see all

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Phil Syrpis
@syrpis
A few thoughts on the nonsense which is 'taking no deal off the table'. First, the Benn Act (last month's holy grail... sigh) only defers the cliff edge to Jan 31, and only if the EU-27 agree to the UK request. [?] 1/4
Second, if we get the Jan extension, and if there's a GE, and if Lab (or a Lab coalition) win a majority... we will need a new, quite long, extension in order to carry out Lab's stated policy (renegotiation then PV). Will it be granted? [?] 2/4
And third, the (new) Lab aspiration to take no deal off the table permanently (beyond eg 2020) simply cannot be achieved... unless a new WA is agreed with the EU, or unless A50 is revoked. Even then, a future Govt with a majority could set a course for no deal. 3/4
Read 4 tweets
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Phil Syrpis
@syrpis
To GE or not to GE, that is the question. Thread. 1/
It is the question facing Johnson, and the question facing Corbyn and the opposition. This thread looks at the question from the Labour party's perspective. 2/
Labour have been calling for a GE, to allow the people to place their verdict on PM Johnson for months. But, in the last weeks, they have rowed back. There are good reasons for this. 3/
Read 14 tweets
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Phil Syrpis
@syrpis
This email appears to contain a number of errors and misconceptions. I understand the wish to represent constituents' views, but I can't resist making a few points. Short thread. 1/
1. Yes - Labour and the Tories were elected in 2017 promising to deliver Brexit. But they had very different Brexits in mind. Labour has consistently sought assurances that any Brexit deal would meet a number of tests... 2/
...so as to ensure that the benefits of EU membership would, as far as possible, be preserved, and so that workers rights for example would not be endangered. This deal contains no such assurances. 3/
Read 11 tweets

Related threads

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Lewis Goodall
@lewis_goodall
For the first time an election might actually work as a means to solve the Brexit crisis. At last, both main parties have serious, credible Brexit policies from which voters can choose. It’s time we accepted the inevitable and fast. My #skyviews news.sky.com/story/sky-view…
For remainers who think you have the govt exactly where you want them, that you can inflict defeat after defeat. Think again. Your position of strength is in fact one of ultimate weakness. The deal has its own inevitable gravity. Without an election, it will eventually pass.
Even if the election results in a hung parliament, it will have a better chance of ending the impasse than this one. Whipless MPs will be replaced with new ones signed up to their party’s approach. Parties will be more unified and act as blocs more than they do now.
Read 11 tweets
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Katy Hayward
@hayward_katy
For the day that’s in it, here’s a thread on #consent.
Or, rather, Consent as it's being referred in the N.Ireland hiccupy-part of the #Brexit process.

@DPhinnemore & I have been working on all of this stuff. Here’s 1 article on it. More to come.

1/15
blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/201…
@DPhinnemore We can all agree that consent = a good thing.
& when it comes to post-conflict NI, particularly so.
A history of mistrust & misuse of power means that making laws that work for people of all backgrounds = vital.
It's also important that democratic processes are seen to work.
2/15
@DPhinnemore There is no ‘principle’ of consent in #1998Agreement per se, but it's there in 2 main forms.

The 1st = majority consent.
No change to the constitutional status of NI without it being approved by the majority of people in NI. Hence the provision for a #borderpoll in future.

3/15
Read 16 tweets
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Liza Sabater 🇵🇷👸🏾🌹
@blogdiva
THE GOP /
REPUBLICAN PARTY
IS NOW A NORMALIZED
EXTREMIST PART, a thread

Why Are Republicans Promoting Violent Ultra-Right Extremism?

nationalmemo.com/why-are-republ…

1/x
Republican Extremism and the Myth of “Both Sides” in American Politics

kottke.org/18/10/republic…

2/x
The Republican platform is extremist – and so is anyone who supports it

theguardian.com/commentisfree/…

3/x
Read 105 tweets
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Prof Tanja Bueltmann
@cliodiaspora
How did we get to all @the3million having to apply to stay in our home? Here's a thread with articles by yours truly, @maikebohn and @antoni_UK that details developments since June 2016. Together we've written 40k+ words so far in support of protecting #citizensrights. [THREAD]
'The tolerant UK I love seems to be vanishing'
✍️ @cliodiaspora, 16 June 2016 @timeshighered
timeshighereducation.com/blog/tolerant-…
'This Is Not Your Country' - Identity And Nationalism Post-Brexit
✍️ @maikebohn, 5 December 2016 @HuffPostUK
huffingtonpost.co.uk/maike-bohn/bre…
Read 48 tweets
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Q
@literallyjustq
A little thread, which I may come back to, for all those #technophobes who blame rise in #suicide on #socialmedia.

First: legit, what rise?
Second: The actual experts do not agree with you, and your fear-mongering is likely causing more harm than good.
cf. Thomas, K, and Gunnell, D. (2010). Suicide in England and Wales 1861–2007: a time-trends analysis. International Journal of Epidemiology, Volume 39, Issue 6, December 2010, Pages 1464–1475.
So, first the data, from #UK (above) and elsewhere (below).

Clearly if this epidemic was *caused* by a *single* factor it would permeate all societies with social media.

[Suicide Rates for Teens Aged 15–19 Years, by Sex — United States, 1975–2015, #USA]
Read 126 tweets

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