Thread by @jonworth

So after hours and hours of research and experimentation I have now, I think, made sense of the tactical voting sites for #GE2019

My complete review is here:
jonworth.eu/2019-uk-genera…

tl;dr - contrary to all the critique of these sites on Twitter, all the major tactical voting tools make pretty good suggestions in the majority of cases

But you want the detail, right?

I looked at 4 tools:
getvoting.org by @BestForBritain
remainunited.org by @thatginamiller
tacticalvote.co.uk by @lauriesutcliffe and others
tactical.vote by @ZoeJardiniere and others

I did not assess NI seats, but did assess all seats in 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 (632 seats)

In 507 of the 632 seats, there is no difference between the sites - in these seats you can vote tactically with confidence (and amongst these are some of THE MOST important seats to vote tactically!)

Of the remaining seats where the voting tools differ in their recommendation, 86 seats are safe seats for the Tories

In these seats you can vote for more or less whoever you like as a Remainer and it will have little impact (sorry, but that's life)

That leaves us just 39 of 632 sites where there is no consensus between the 4 tactical voting tools, and *also* the seat is not a safe seat

My blog post assesses these 39 seats one by one

3 of the 39 are special cases (Buckingham, Chorley, Don Valley)

In 2 of the 39 (Beaconsfield, East Devon) vote Independent

In 5 of the 39 (Bury St Edmunds, Colchester, Elmet and Rothwell, Leicester East, Macclesfield) back Labour

In 16 (Altrincham & Sale West, Chelsea & Fulham, Cities of London & W, Eddisbury, Esher & Walton, Finchley & Golders Green, Henley, Hitchin & Harpenden, Newton Abbot, NE Somerset, Sheffield Hallam, SE Cambridgeshire, SE Cornwall, Southport, St Austell & Newquay, Woking) Lib Dem

In the final 13 (Broxtowe, Filton & Bradley Stoke, Hendon, Isle of Wight, Kensington, Luton South, Putney, Rushcliffe, SW Hertfordshire, Wantage, Watford, Wimbledon, York Outer) I need more data before being able to make a call

🚨 In just 13 of 632 constituencies (2.05%) does it make sense to vote tactically, and it is unclear how to best do this 🚨

I welcome input and questions about the blog post and the thread, and additional data to help solve the 13 outstanding constituencies would be very welcome.

Essentially though the problem is not WHO to vote for, when voting tactically, but to get ENOUGH people to do so.

That job starts now!

/ends

Please note: this blog post has now been updated to V2 in light of new data in the past 24 hours! A small number of recommendations have hence been changed!