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The @ITCnews has posted a profound, strategic contribution to negotiations on the #AfCFTA's next steps. The analysis is generated from a deep dive into Africa's existing trade strategies at the national and sub-regional levels. A lengthy thread of some highlights:
@ITCnews The database: at the beginning of 2019, there were 79 trade-focused strategies under implementation across Africa. The 11 strategies that did not prioritize any sector and three other regional strategies were left out of the discussion for simplicity.
@ITCnews The remaining 65 strategies were used to shed light on the degree of overlap of sector priorities across countries. Four of the poorest nations (Burundi, CAR, Eritrea, Somalia) did not have any trade strategy in place in 2019.
@ITCnews Africa’s 65 trade strategies under implementation in 2018 specified 372 priority sectors that could be classified under 78 different types of sectors. This gives an average of about five different priority sectors per strategy.
@ITCnews First, there is a large degree of coincidence on the actual sectors that countries prioritize. Although some differences can be appreciated in the sectoral focus across African regions, vegetable products are prioritized across all regions.
@ITCnews Very few countries prioritized sectors with higher value added. What seems to be common is the interest in service strategies. The most prioritized categories of services sectors are tourism, transport, financial, educational and communication services.
@ITCnews An analysis of priority sectors in strategies currently under implementation shows that most focus on agro-industry, fisheries, coffee, as well as energy and biofuels. Among the services sectors, ICT and tourism are the most important ones. Manufacturing is not very present.
@ITCnews The pattern that emerges from sector analysis at the regional level is that agri products are prioritized across all regions, but geographic location determines the type of products. Neighbouring countries find themselves very often prioritizing the same type of agri products.
@ITCnews There are 25 strategies that mention manufacturing as a priority sector without clearly specifying the type of manufactured products that this entails. This also happens in the industry category. There is a trend to define manufacturing sectors much more loosely than other types
@ITCnews There is a dichotomy between Africa’s ambitions and its sector development priorities. While Africa’s official discourse is on manufacturing and industrialization, its trade strategies continue to focus on agriculture and primary products.
@ITCnews If the AfCFTA is to foster competitiveness and economic transformation, its strategic focus may have to deviate from previous efforts.
@ITCnews Thus, the Action Plan on Boosting Intra-African Trade, which accompanies the AfCFTA, aims to provide a comprehensive framework to pursue a developmental regional strategy. To achieve this, diversification of productive capacity will need to become a central element of the BIAT.
@ITCnews Given Africa’s strategic focus on primary products with less value added than other sectors, the question arises as to whether Africa’s existing country and sub-regional strategies provide the right foundation for #AfCFTA negotiations.
@ITCnews Are Africa’s existing trade strategies out of step with the aims of the #AfCFTA? Chapter 2 analyses three key dimensions in which country-specific and regional strategies differ. It also maps and discusses some of the difficulties that lie ahead of the AfCFTA negotiations.
@ITCnews While >40% of existing trade strategies identify trade integration, regionalism as crucial policy areas, less than 10% of strategies are regional. This indicates an appetite for more regional strategy work. #AfCFTA negotiators should take note of this trend and build on it.
@ITCnews The #AfCFTA provides the right opportunity, maybe the most important one since decolonisation, to act on a regional scale in a coordinated manner. In the years to come, negotiators will focus on developing regional strategies that can pave the road for further trade integration.
@ITCnews ITC's @AranchaGlezLaya: The #AfCFTA is the opportunity to change the strategic direction of the continent and to focus more on innovation and the development of higher value-added sectors.
@ITCnews @AranchaGlezLaya Diversifying trade in Africa: new strategy approaches for the #AfCFTA. Download the must-read analysis from @ITCnews: intracen.org/publication/Di…
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