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1/ 3 You have misinterpreted Kevin Wheeler et al's report which rather indicates that, to reach the full supply level, the #GERD filling process is expected to take between 5 to 10 years (see the screenshot 👇). Was this an honest hiccup or ---?

@seleshi_b_a @globetrotter1_
2/3 Kevin Wheeler et al's report is based on the #GERD releasing 28 BM3 per year which is no longer the case i.e. @seleshi_b_a & #Gedu indicated at the presser yesterday that #Ethiopia agreed to discharge 37 BM3 per year. I'm confused by why Ethiopia now changed its stand on this
3/3 I just did a quick estimate based on releasing 37 BM3/yr & my calculation confirms that the filling will take:

- 5.9 years to reach the Active Capacity volume of 59 BM3

- 7.4 years to reach the Total Capacity volume of 74 BM3

@seleshi_b_a, do you agree with my estimate 👆?
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Let's Agree to Disagree
@raph789
This is indicating that the #GERD will serve as #Egypt's RESERVOIR, which is absurd considering the GERD is fully financed & 100% owned by #Ethiopia. @seleshi_b_a

This would also mean that the GERD’s power generating capacity could be reduced to reflect the 31 BM3 threshold. 1/3
If the volume of water reaching the #GERD becomes lower than 31 BM3 due to drought, which:

- the GERD has nothing to do with; &
- could have occured even if the GERD wasn’t built

Therefore, why would #Ethiopia agree to release water that was previously stored in the GERD? 2/3
It’s becoming apparent that the ongoing tripartite negotiation's main aim is to protect #Egypt’s best interest, not #Ethiopia's.

Unfortunately, Ethiopia’s current leaders are intentionally/unintentionally compromising Ethiopia’s sovereignty in the process. 3/3
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Let's Agree to Disagree
@raph789
Thread

Will Tigray leave or remain in #Ethiopia?

#TPLF's calculated moves so far could assist with predicting the likely future of #Tigray.

The current TPLF (since #Abiy came to power) had been carefully following procedures when it comes to dealing with the federal govt. 1/12
#TPLF had been releasing a number of statements/announcements, both written & verbal, which may seem pointless to the juvenile, naive and/or intentionally deaf ears but they're calculated & sensible than anyone could imagine. Every statements had some reasoning behind it. 2/12
#TPLF peacefully handed over power to #Abiy in the hope that he will execute #EPRDF’s future plans in line with the party member’s agreement. Unfortunately, Abiy had other sinister plans. Abiy & Co. fooled TPLF & managed to successfully undertake the #SoftCoup. 3/12
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Let's Agree to Disagree
@raph789
1/8 Thread on #Article39 & its consequence

Now that the #ProsperityParty is formed, which seems to be the final phase of formalisation of the “#SoftCoup, it's worthwhile to discuss about what will happen to #Article_39 which is one of the key sections of the current constitution
2/8 Some may feel that the #Article39 matter is a sensitive/difficult issue which shouldn’t be discussed now. However, the ongoing unpredictable & confusing moves by the current govt makes this matter highly critical which needs to be discussed/considered now than ever before.
3/8 So, here is my two cents on the likely scenarios & consequences should the government attempts to abolish/amend #Article39:
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Martin Beuse
@mart_di_be
The @mitenergy future mobility study & in particular, them projecting Li-ion #battery pack prices @ 124$/kWh in 2030 (based on Hsieh et al. doi.org/10.1016/j.apen…) seems to be sparking quite a debate. Here some context (1/12) #batterytwitter #energytwitter
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@mitenergy It brings attention to the FACT, that the cost of materials in a commercial Li-ion battery pack makes up for an increasing share of the total cost. Within these materials, in particular Li, Co and Ni have been of concern due to their reported price fluctuations (3/12)
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themuellerreport
@muellerreport19
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themuellerreport
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Micah Allen
@micahgallen
What does the synthetic frog's heart tell it's Bayesian brain? Read our new pre-print "In the Body's Eye: The Computational Anatomy of Interoceptive Active Inference" to find out! biorxiv.org/content/10.110… - explainer thread below:
"Interoceptive inference" theories are increasingly popular. See e.g, work by @anilkseth, @LFeldmanBarrett, @manos_tsakiris et al. These are great, but so far, mostly conceptual. Here, we wanted to offer the community a formal model, to guide more concerte hypothesis testing.
How can we best understand the influence of visceral states on hierarchical Bayesian inference? Our idea in this paper was to treat the body as a cylic osscilator which periodically attenutates sensory precision.
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Penny Midas Rollo
@PennyMidasRollo
001/ [article content in this tweet series 001-180 reproduced with permission from Martin Howe QC of Lawyers for Britain @lawyers4britain]
#quote "Leaving the EU on WTO terms: pulling down the barriers to world trade
Introduction: why prices will FALL after Brexit, not rise" /002
002/ #quote "Over the past couple of weeks, the media have been full of lurid scare stories about what will happen if the UK leaves the EU on WTO terms, because negotiations with the EU do not result in a withdrawal agreement." /003
#tariffs #NoDeal #Brexit #WTO #ProjectFear #shortages #food #medicines
003/ #quote "One of the most ridiculous and UNJUSTIFIED of these absurd scare stories is that it will lead to higher prices, and even shortages, of foods and medicines." /004
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