, 5 tweets, 2 min read
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1. Here is our new analysis for the potential international dissemination of the novel coronavirus from China, via commercial air travel. East and Southeast Asian cities are still the highest risk, but also centres in Europe and North America.
tinyurl.com/rc6yv4t
#coronavirus
2. This is in the scenario of widespread coronavirus transmission through China with ongoing propagation outside of Wuhan. *Note - we do not have evidence of this yet. Cairo was the only African city listed in the top 50 destinations by travel volume. South America not in top 50.
3. Of course there are still many unknowns, some of which include the degree of transmission outside of the Wuhan area, and the degree that the travel restrictions/control efforts are slowing this epidemic down in China.

We are all watching closely.
4. A big thank you to @hellobluedot @MOUGK. Also to the Journal of Travel Medicine who peer-reviewed this and placed this online in 48 hrs (a bit less?). Data has been shared with WHO. Please see appendices for additional travel data.
5. Please DM me if you have any issues with access. What's mine is yours.
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