With the exception of a few polls w/ less accurate records in Iowa, @BernieSanders is ahead. He also leads in New Hampshire, and definitely will in it on February 11 if he takes the Iowa on 3rd.
By February 29, Biden's dominance in South Carolina could be significantly diminished.
Come Super Tuesday on March 3...
If Joe Biden holds his Southern advantage, a BIG if considering he could faces big losses before, it could be washed by an embarrassing loss to Bernie in California.
That means..
Hillary Clinton was a far stronger competitor and had an argument for the superdelegates.
What argument will Joe Biden make?
Those donors max out, folks. Suffering repeated losses before South Carolina will definitely dry up the well.
He cannot afford poor showings in IA and NH.
Are we supposed to be confident @JoeBiden will eke out Ohio on March 17? Arizona same day, with these weak Hispanic numbers?
Not me.
I don't know, folks. Point being, Biden cannot afford losses Hillary absorbed EVEN AFTER she eked out or stole—depending on who you talk to, 😉—Iowa.