@johnvanreenen was Director of CER that produced a detailed range of economic forecasts post Brexit
“The reward for the careful work and reports on Brexit we produced over the next few years was ongoing vilification by Brexiters.”
“The reward for the careful work and reports on Brexit we produced over the next few years was ongoing vilification by Brexiters.”
“My personal nadir was when ..Gove told us that we were like ‘Nazi scientists’ persecuting Einstein with our pesky facts & reason. Well, when the Minister of Justice calls you a Nazi, you know it’s time to get out of town. So, I did my own personal Brexit & took a job at MIT”
I still have to pinch myself when I see the stark figures.
In the Medium Run Johnson’s Brexit will cut the average income by nearly 8% (only slightly better than WTO - no deal).
That means less money for doctors, nurses, teachers, police.
In the Medium Run Johnson’s Brexit will cut the average income by nearly 8% (only slightly better than WTO - no deal).
That means less money for doctors, nurses, teachers, police.
Forecasts may not be precise but should give an accurate picture of the likely boundaries of the landing stage & have been pretty accurate (-2-3%).
A doctor might not be able to tell a 20 a day smoker when he is going to die but he can predict the habit will be bad for health.
A doctor might not be able to tell a 20 a day smoker when he is going to die but he can predict the habit will be bad for health.
A slowly deflating tyre
Where do we go from here?
1/ Decent opposition
2/ Fight to protect democratic institutions tooth and nail
3/ Stronger alternative policies and better professional & economic narratives
4/. A rejoin project for the sake of our children & grandchildren.
Where do we go from here?
1/ Decent opposition
2/ Fight to protect democratic institutions tooth and nail
3/ Stronger alternative policies and better professional & economic narratives
4/. A rejoin project for the sake of our children & grandchildren.
