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Google Trends for #IowaCaucuses (4-Hour)

While @ewarren seeing a bit of last-minute surge today, Bernie is the top searched in Iowa, in all 5 Metro areas.

Searches for @amyklobuchar surprisingly inching higher in Des Moines. But interest fizzled over the last week.
@ewarren @amyklobuchar Joe Biden's highest interest metro area is Davenport IA-Rock Island-Moline IL.

But look at the past 4 hours. It's all Bernie Sanders followed by Elizabeth Warren. #IowaCaucuses
@ewarren @amyklobuchar Update: Google Trends for #IowaCaucuses

Iowans searching for "caucus candidate" are searching more than twice as much for @BernieSanders than any other candidate, in all metros.

@ewarren and @PeteButtigieg trading off for second highest search interest.
trends.google.com/trends/explore…
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Richard Baris
@Peoples_Pundit
1. It is incorrect to cite the "progressive vs. moderate" totals in the Iowa Caucus to make the argument the Democratic Party is still a moderate party.

The electorate was ideologically farther to the left than we've ever seen, radical even when comparing to the middle.
2. Many Democratic caucus-goers listened to their heads, not their hearts, and voted for candidates the media told them was more electable.

That is clear from the voter analysis.
3. When 7 in 10 support single-payer, it's a radical electorate when compared to the country as a whole.

That's not a moderate party. Just shows that many are still practical, even if that practicality was a media-created illusion.
Read 3 tweets
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Richard Baris
@Peoples_Pundit
Yes, Pete Buttigieg has a slight lead with 62% reporting on state delegate equivalents.

Buttigieg 26.9
Sanders 25.1
Warren 18.3
Biden 15.6
Klobuchar 12.6

We can't make a projection yet because we don't know whether it's representative, what's left out.

This was a disservice.
Let's breakdown some of this now that we know more county-by-county.

Pete Buttigieg did better than expected in rural areas and took re-caucus votes media thought would go to Joe Biden.

But it definitely does seem that Bernie Sanders has a lot more vote out. Polk alone is big.
Worth noting, Pete Buttigieg spent a ton of time and held scores of events in Pivot Counties that voted for Barack Obama twice, but pivoted to Donald Trump in 2016.

That's how he's over performing his polling numbers, and of course, the realignment.
Read 7 tweets
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Richard Baris
@Peoples_Pundit
Internal data from both the Sanders Campaign and Buttigieg Campaign showed Mayor Pete in second place.

A solid performance. But if he comes in ahead with updated data from both campaigns, I'm going to need to see more details to get my eyebrow to fall back in place.
While they're not official results—whatever they're even worth as far as credibility at this point—the internal data from the two campaigns are remarkably similar.

Remaining are Joe Biden and Amy Klobuchar fighting for 4th and 5th place.

Talk of Biden winning is a joke now.
Again, the campaign data are gathered on the ground by precinct captains who tally counts from each precinct chair, who in turn will report it to the state party.

With solid organization, which both campaigns had, they can do it w/ decent accuracy.

And consider they mirror.
Read 3 tweets

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ᏔმƦ𝔢ჳ💤
@mooncult
CNN is panicking as Bernie Sanders runs away with the Iowa caucuses
good question
Bernie's Iowa caucus is so big that it is literally displacing Biden supporters
Read 50 tweets
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Peter Daou
@peterdaou
#BERNIE SANDERS = THE MORAL CHOICE FOR PRESIDENT

It's been a long journey to reach that conclusion. Please hear me out.

My journey started in Beirut, where I grew up in a brutal civil war. Violence and injustice everywhere.

But today's America alarms me more than Beirut...
BERNIE SANDERS = THE MORAL CHOICE

In America today, children are stolen from their parents, locked in freezers, caged, gunned down in schools.

Billionaires get richer while children go hungry, homeless, and without healthcare.

A society that brutalizes children is BROKEN...
BERNIE SANDERS = THE MORAL CHOICE

When I quit my music career to become an anti-Bush activist at the turn of the millennium, it stunned me to see the Democratic Party, my party, largely go along with Bush's assault on civil liberties. Torture. War based on lies. Patriot Act...
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Peter Daou
@peterdaou
ON #WARREN'S LOW BLOW

Since this will come up at the #DemDebate, I want to explain her attack on #Bernie.

When CNN leaked the story, Warren could have said: "We're friends and he was referring to the challenges women candidates face. I won't grace these leaks."

Instead...
...Warren's campaign put out a statement that effectively calls #Bernie sexist and then claims to want to move on.

The net effect is to try to damage the leading progressive in the race, which gives a big boost to the establishment wing.

Now why on earth would she do that?
People who follow me know how dedicated I am to fighting sexism. It was everything I did in 2016 and I was mocked and smeared for it when I defended Hillary.

But this isn't about sexism. It's about the incredibly questionable timing of lobbing this out there as #Bernie surges.
Read 5 tweets
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Susan Poupard ✨
@susanpoupard
Next month I’m going on a railway adventure, travelling from Edinburgh to Hong Kong by train. 🚂

8,246 miles including part of the Trans-Siberian, and the Trans-Mongolian railway. I can’t wait!!!

susanpoupard.com/edinburgh-to-h…

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I’m off - Day 1 of my #trainadventure travelling from Edinburgh to Hong Kong! 🚂

Train #1 from Edinburgh to London was cancelled 😕 so I get two trains instead of one... first to Carlisle on @TPExpressTrains, next stop London with @AvantiWestCoast 🙂

#edinburghtohk
Up early at pretty London St Pancras for the @Eurostar to Amsterdam 🇬🇧 🇳🇱

The 3rd train on my epic train journey from Edinburgh to Hong Kong! 🚂

#edinburghtohk #trainadventure #traintravel #lowcarbontravel #lessflying #flyless
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Adriana Amado
@LadyAAmado
En la charla que @FHC dio en #30añospoderciudadano dijo que los incendios de la #Amazonia ocurrían todos los años. Desde antes que él fuera presidente. ¿Por qué tanto interés este año? #AmazoniaEnLlamas #amazoniaemchamas #hilo 👇
@FHC Los diarios y noticieros de #Brasil no hablaron de otra cosa que de #queimadas y #amazoniaemchamas
@FHC Pero hacia las 20 hs del 23/8/2019 la noticia de Amazonas no estaba entre las más leídas del día según #Google #Trends #Brasil
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Christophe Barraud🛢
@C_Barraud
🇺🇸 🇨🇳 *U.S. WAITING TO HEAR FROM #CHINA ON TRADE DEAL, KUDLOW SAYS - BBG
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