Sanders just cut Buttigieg's SDE lead from 24 to 18 in part because satellite caucuses are now reporting. In the two congressional districts that are now in, Sanders is getting 53% and 75% and Buttigieg isn't viable.
If this plays out again in the two outstanding CDs (IA-1 and IA-3), Sanders could gain another 10-20 SDEs on Buttigieg. (We don't know how many SDE's exactly each district will be worth until we have the results -- the allocation for these is based on turnout)
This is a small share of the overall outstanding precincts, which are otherwise in counties that have already been reporting their caucus night returns. But the satellites were/are the wild card because we didn't know how they'd break or what they'd be worth.
Satellite caucus SDEs right now:
CD-1: ??
CD-2: Sanders 5.83, Buttigieg 0.03
CD-3: ??
CD-4: Sanders 3.01, Buttigieg .21
As @ryanmatsumoto1 noted in this thread, Sanders needs to net even more out of CD-1 and CD-3 to catch Buttigieg statewide.
CD-1: ??
CD-2: Sanders 5.83, Buttigieg 0.03
CD-3: ??
CD-4: Sanders 3.01, Buttigieg .21
As @ryanmatsumoto1 noted in this thread, Sanders needs to net even more out of CD-1 and CD-3 to catch Buttigieg statewide.
