Democratic voters are overestimating Trump's electability while underestimating the mess he left to clean up and how difficult dealing with the GOP will be for a Dem POTUS. This is extremely shortsighted and undervalues who has the best plan to fix corruption, outduel McConnell.
Unless the Dem nominee faceplants or allows all of Trump's weaknesses to be neutralized, voting for him is untenable to too many folks for him to win. He has a record now and won't get to run against historically high negatives again. Plus, people are exhausted from his bullshit.
The more difficult challenge is having a good enough 1st term -- while facing structural disadvantages and a GOP that plays dirty -- to get re-elected, control Congress and fix underlying issues that allow horrific candidates like W and Trump to manipulate voters and seize power.
Warren has a plan for corruption, obstruction, McConnell, SCOTUS, etc. Will be a good surrogate for down-ballot Dems. Experienced enough to come right in and kick ass. Young enough to win again in 2024. We shouldn't just think about Election Day, we must map out the next 8 years.
Don't think a win is a lock, but do believe Trump is an extremely damaged incumbent who has turned off some of his old voters and not attracted new ones. Building him up as some unbeatable Thanos-like juggernaut has broken Democratic voter brains. That fear is clouding judgment.
The "we gotta get this guy out of the White House, nothing else matters right now" mentality will screw Democrats if we wake up on inauguration day with a president who isn't prepared to rebuild our broken government, overcome the shitstorm of obstacles that awaits their admin.
Democrats have a nine-level video game to complete. Defeating the stage-one boss is not the entire game.
My biggest concern about the election isn't Trump at all. It's that Republicans will cheat, disenfranchise, misinform, etc. That's something we absolutely do need to be fully prepared for. So that's another attribute we should evaluate. Who would deal with that scenario the best?
Lastly, to reiterate an earlier point, it is pretty much all for nothing unless Democrats take back Senate majority, which we also don't focus on nearly enough. We should put a premium on what candidate can energize the base AND has successfully helped campaign for the party.
P.S. - Don't let anybody make you panic with horse-race coverage of the Democratic Primary. 99% of the delegates are still available. The race has simply just begun. Go with who you feel would make the top president. This primary has ebbed and flowed and will continue to do so.
