At the start of December, Wuhan was a normal city. In two months, the healthcare system was overwhelmed by *something*. Hospitals full, the sick sent home, an entire city quarantined.
That's why this isn't the flu. The flu doesn't crash a city in 60 days. nytimes.com/2020/02/02/wor…
That's why this isn't the flu. The flu doesn't crash a city in 60 days. nytimes.com/2020/02/02/wor…
How many people needed to be infected to crash the city?
We don't know the exact figure, but several days ago @DoveyWan came up with an estimate of a ~1% infection rate for Wuhan based on testing of evacuees.
So something in that range crashed the city.
We don't know the exact figure, but several days ago @DoveyWan came up with an estimate of a ~1% infection rate for Wuhan based on testing of evacuees.
So something in that range crashed the city.
@DoveyWan A few other points:
1) At least 10 other Chinese provinces are at the same number of confirmed cases as Hubei on 1/23 before the lockdown
2) The virus has confirmed cases in 25+ countries
Both stats from JHU:
gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashbo…
Raw stats here:
docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
1) At least 10 other Chinese provinces are at the same number of confirmed cases as Hubei on 1/23 before the lockdown
2) The virus has confirmed cases in 25+ countries
Both stats from JHU:
gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashbo…
Raw stats here:
docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
