What does the bad scenario look like?
1) Harvard’s @mlipsitch projects >40% of the world may become infected with virus
2) Some fraction of those will develop #COVID19
3) And of those, WHO says 20% have severe cases
This may overwhelm hospitals.
theatlantic.com/health/archive…
1) Harvard’s @mlipsitch projects >40% of the world may become infected with virus
2) Some fraction of those will develop #COVID19
3) And of those, WHO says 20% have severe cases
This may overwhelm hospitals.
theatlantic.com/health/archive…
Even if 80% of cases are mild or even wholly asymptomatic, the virus is highly contagious so N can get large fast.
The sheer number of severe cases can then overwhelm a healthcare system — as happened in Wuhan.
The sheer number of severe cases can then overwhelm a healthcare system — as happened in Wuhan.
Swine flu was estimated to infect ~11-21% of the world in 2009.
This virus may have that kind of reach but with a much higher fraction of severe cases. cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspecti…
This virus may have that kind of reach but with a much higher fraction of severe cases. cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspecti…
