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What?

I don't even...

WHAT???
I don't even think the most ridiculous part of this map is all the Safe D states. I think the most ridiculous part is having DC as Safe R.

Why the fuck would an almost entirely African-American and Democratic city vote for Trump? Let alone on a map where West Virginia is blue?
The only way this map could possibly make sense is if this guy is forecasting all white and Hispanic voters vote for Bernie, and all Black voters vote for Trump.

I'm not sure how any sane human being would think that would happen. But at least that would sorta explain this map.
Yeah...looking more closely at this map, I'm now absolutely certain that's the assumption this guy made.

How red a state is on this map is VERY closely correlated with how Black the state is.

This guy legit thinks Bernie will just throw away Black voters and win everyone else.
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Matthew Chapman
@fawfulfan
THREAD: Republicans have to be really, really hoping that the Supreme Court dismisses the Texas ACA lawsuit.

If they decide the whole law has to be eliminated, several things could happen next depending on who wins the 2020 election, but none of it is good for the GOP.
Let's back up and analyze what's at stake here.

Texas and several other states are arguing since the GOP tax bill set the mandate to $0, it's no longer a tax and therefore unconstitutional, and the whole rest of the law is unseverable and therefore should be struck down too.
That's EVERYTHING. Health insurance exchanges, essential benefits, efficiency reforms to Medicare, Medicaid expansion, all of it.

The Texas law is saying that the ENTIRE LAW needs to be thrown out on a technicality. Even parts that have nothing to do with the mandate.
Read 18 tweets
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Matthew Chapman
@fawfulfan
This result is kind of crazy. Biden is far more underwater than Trump in Wisconsin, but voters *still* are completely tied on the two in a head to head matchup
I'll reiterate what I've said several times about Wisconsin: both parties had poor turnout in 2016, both parties have big pools of nonvoters they could tap into in 2020.

We just really don't know what's going to happen there.
Democrats need to do two things.

First, they must absolutely blitz WI in advertising, canvassing, and voter registration. Second, they must also invest heavily in AZ, IA, FL, and NC, so that they have alternate paths to 270 if things go south there.
Read 3 tweets
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Matthew Chapman
@fawfulfan
This is just absolute horseshit. Lynching is an act of terrorism designed to terrify people of color out of exercising their civil rights.

Political crimes that target people's federally guaranteed civil rights need federal means of enforcement.
The problem is that @justinamash ignores the complicated and tense history of how lynching has been used to threaten communities of color in ways distinct from regular murder, and how racist state officials have declined to pursue these cases to intentionally weaken civil rights.
I understand @justinamash's argument. He is a skeptic of federal power and believes it's his constitutional duty to keep power as close to the people as possible.

But there is a very strong basis, in federalism, for vesting civil rights enforcement in *all* levels of govt.
Read 3 tweets

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Pablo Bereciartua
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En estos cuatro años la protección contra inundaciones fue una prioridad del Gobierno Nacional. Iniciamos 95 obras en todo el país para proteger 100 centros urbanos y 3 millones de hectáreas productivas. Hilo 👉🏻. #PlandelAgua
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6. Further Proof. The Truth may be long, but it always prevails.
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Sandrine 🚗
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Grosse ambiance de travail aujourd'hui puisque je décide de me lancer parallèlement dans la série à succès Game of Thrones que finalement peu de gens connaissent. Je vous ferai part de mes réactions au fur et à mesure.
Ha ben super tout le monde est découpé en deux, bonne ambiance.
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Marie Ntabugi ن
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Tomasz Rolbiecki
@TomaszRolbiecki
#Map: #ISIS activity in the last 3 months (Heatmap). About 100 hours of work during these 90 days, but totally worth it.

Link: bit.ly/2GqZZ3r

As in most of the heatmaps, red area = high activity. Blue = there was something.

More information below.
Euphrates Valley south of Deir ez-Zor remains the main area of ISIS attacks. Red area in and near Baghuz is from, obviously, the SDF offensive in January and February. After the territorial defeat there only Hajin witnessed any attacks (three, to be exact).
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