@POCX100 Please read the whole thread.
@POCX100 I get my data from WHO every day and run % in every country.
The 1% is the working hypothesis that PH is working with assuming they manage the containment stage successfully as China (removing HUBEI) has - so far. 0.85%
That is still very serious
More than 8 times seasonal flu
The 1% is the working hypothesis that PH is working with assuming they manage the containment stage successfully as China (removing HUBEI) has - so far. 0.85%
That is still very serious
More than 8 times seasonal flu
@POCX100 I suspect we might see some VERY high mortality in Iran because they haven’t managed containment or testing at all. In fact the Gov encouraged people to go to Qom after they knew the outbreak started there. Relying on prayer.
@POCX100 Expecting US to be high in Washington State and likely beyond for the same reason. The Gov have been in denial & their insurance based HC system means tests avoided
Egypt seems highly unlikely to be testing or containing adequately.
Lots of places the numbers don’t make sense
Egypt seems highly unlikely to be testing or containing adequately.
Lots of places the numbers don’t make sense
@POCX100 So the mortality rate WHERE countries mobilise effective containment is still uncertain but that it would be at the lower end.
The WHO were originally saying a working hypothesis 0.7% at the lower end with good management.
I see Dr Phillips Whitford has just said 1% too
The WHO were originally saying a working hypothesis 0.7% at the lower end with good management.
I see Dr Phillips Whitford has just said 1% too
