My Authors
Read all threads
People (including me to some extent) interpreted head-to-head polls showing Sanders tied with/slightly ahead of Biden as being good news for Sanders. But not sure they were given that those polls were taken at the height of Sanders's bounce and Biden's slump...
If Sanders was only leading Biden by a couple points in head-to-head polls at a time after NH when a lot of when national polls were like Sanders 28, Biden 16 (i.e. Sanders +12) that suggests that Biden *was* set to benefit from the field consolidating.
Overall, your analysis of this primary will tend to have been stronger if you *did* believe in ideological "lanes" than if you didn't. The polls aside, the actual behavior of voters has been rather emphatic on that point.
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh.

Enjoying this thread?

Keep Current with Nate Silver

Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just three indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!