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US coronavirus cases.
Looks a lot like Italy a couple weeks ago.
US vs Italy Coronavirus Cases
We’ve got a week.

(ht @elipariser)
At this point, China has mostly contained their present coronavirus outbreak. Through extraordinary measures no other major economy could plausibly take.

Here’s coronavirus cases everywhere else:

(ht @medium)
US trajectory...really not where we want to be.
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ian bremmer
@ianbremmer
Dow closes at 7.8%. Worst fall since 2008.
First time this has ever happened
Lebanon defaults on $1.2bn of foreign debt today – the first default in the country’s history.

Its total debt exceeds to $90bn and amounts to 170% of the Lebanon’s GDP.
Read 3 tweets
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ian bremmer
@ianbremmer
TRUMP PEACE PLAN: Trump has just confirmed the outline of his Israeli-Palestinian peace plan. What does the plan say specifically and what does it mean? I’ve read the plan in detail and talked with all key players. Here’s the state of play: (1/9)
Proposal is classic Trump. Tearing up prior presidential playbook. Unabashed power politics. Recognizing new geopolitical reality of the Middle East. And domestic political upside, in midst of impeachment. (2/9)
Plan is most pro-Israel proposal ever issued from US. Palestinians get 70% of West Bank, while Israel can move immediately to annex settlements. Palestinians get capital in outskirts of Jerusalem, no right of return to Israel, no control of holy sites. (3/9)
Read 10 tweets
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ian bremmer
@ianbremmer
I’m far from a Trump supporter.

But impossible not to call Iran outcome a win for US president and a big opportunity going forward.
Trump’s two notable foreign policy wins: Massive escalation vs much weaker countries.

Threatening Mexico with economic catastrophe if they didn’t tighten their border. They did.

Military decapitation of Iran after strike against US base and embassy. Virtually no retaliation.
This will, of course, not work vs China. As they have the capacity and will to say no to the Americans.

Expect US-China relations to get significantly worse this year accordingly.
Read 4 tweets

Related threads

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Brandi Wash Your Damn Hands Buchman
@BBuchman_CNS
Good morning.

The House Oversight Committee wants answers and they want them now on why broad testing for #coronavirus has yet to take place. Lawmakers will also scrutinize how tests are paid for, the role of insurers and more.
Hearing begins today at 930AM ET.
The witnesses:
On March 3, the Cmte sent a letter to CDC director Robert Redfield requesting the following breakdown on coronavirus cases. ⬇️
The letter in full available here: documentcloud.org/documents/6807…
There have been lingering questions over how CDC has reported its data and for a time, the agency yanked coronavirus test rate reports off of its website altogether. Yesterday, dir. Redfield vowed that CDC would restore reporting online.
Background:
courthousenews.com/house-grills-c…
Read 97 tweets
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Al Jazeera English
@AJEnglish
#Coronavirus updates:

• Infection cases top 100,000 worldwide
• Nearly 3,500 dead
• Outbreak in China appears to be slowing

Follow the latest: aje.io/bbyw2
How effective are face masks? (Answer: Not very)

Here's how #coronavirus spreads and what you can do to protect yourself: aje.io/msmdh
Travel plans up in the air because of the #CoronavirusOutbreak?

Here's everything you need to know about travelling during the epidemic: aje.io/fflrp
Read 5 tweets
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Yossi Gestetner
@YossiGestetner
Swine flu killed 12,469 people in the US from mid 2009 to mid 2010. Do you recall market meltdowns and OMG coverage of it daily? I don't. Globally a few hundred thousand people died. 2009 was the start of an economic recovery yet now we are potentially having an economic plunge.
Swine Flu killed on average 34 people a day from April 2009 to April 2010 per the CDC. Basically, three days of Swine Flu had more DEATHS than the total current #CoronaVirus cases in the US. Can Corona get worse than current levels? Sure but it is not anywhere close to it.
Coronavirus is not anywhere close to Swine Flu levels so I am not sure why people are spreading panic about it. Even if it reaches those levels, there was no OMG WE ARE DYING tone in mid 2009 during Swine. The economy in fact got out of a recession mid 2009 despite Swine Flu!
Read 25 tweets
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EVent Horizon
@evdefender
Think someone is lying to you?

First check to see if they bothered to add any variability whatsoever in the model they are using to supposedly report actual numbers from a complex system.

#coronavirus
The mortality rate they want you to report is the - 0 day rate: Today's Confirmed Death total minus Today's Confirmed Case total.

This has not varied outside of 1/10th of 1% in the last 5 prints.

#coronavirus
But even a minor adjustment of a few days in the mortality rate paints an entirely different picture

#coronavirus

Read 322 tweets
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IndoPacific News
@IndoPac_Info
#coronavirus

Thread: Virus-hit #Wuhan has 2 laboratories linked to #Chinese bio-warfare program

#coronavirus maybe originated in a Wuhan laboratory linked to #China’s covert biological weapons program, says an #Israeli biological warfare expert 😲😲😲

washingtontimes.com/news/2020/jan/…
The laboratory in Wuhan is the only declared site in China capable of working with deadly viruses.

Dany Shoham, a former Israeli military intelligence officer who has studied Chinese bio warfare, said the institute is linked to Beijing’s covert biological weapons program.
“Certain laboratories in the institute have probably been engaged, in terms of research and development, in Chinese biological weapons, at least collaterally, yet not as a principal facility of the Chinese BW alignment,” Mr. Shoham told The Washington Times.
Read 8 tweets
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Christophe Barraud🛢
@C_Barraud
🇨🇳 #CHINA Q3 GDP Y/Y: 6.5% V 6.6%E (slowest growth since Q1 2009)
*NBS spokesman Mao Shengyong said that the international situation was bringing “downward pressure” on China.
*Link: bloom.bg/2RVX1ZA
🇫🇷 🇪🇺 🇨🇳 French tire maker Michelin warned of declining sales in Europe and #China in the second half of the year, dragging down shares of its competitors in the U.S. and Europe - Bloomberg
*Statement: bit.ly/2EujhqH
🇺🇸🇨🇳🇪🇺 In a volley of filings, the EU, #China and the U.S. this week escalated disputes over new U.S. metals tariffs, the European response to those levies, and Chinese intellectual property practices - Bloomberg
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Read 634 tweets

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