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Many of those calling for lockdown in Pakistan belong to the elite who seem to have little concern for that many millions will die among the poorest if their daily wages are stopped. Pakistan does not & can't afford a social welfare system of developed countries
The choices the government faces are grim between economic implosion of a lockdown and consequently millions dying from hunger or partial containment where the wheels of economy continue, but with risk of spread of infection. It's a choice that needs to be carefully modulated
Interestingly the very same elite who were screaming for students to brought back from China (led by @NasimZehra ) are today demanding complete lockdown. And the very same lot are today screaming against the CAA measures to minimise entry into Pakistan by air flights since they
are most affected by the flight restrictions, and which generally don't affect the daily wage earners. The response of the elite as always in Pakistan is to focus on the issue through their own selfish lens rather than how the vast majority of poor might be impacted.
It's the very same elite who's very concerned about PSX falling, and already rumbling for some bailout, when in fact the number of investors directly impacted are less than 50,000. And most of them won't die even if KSE100 falls to 10,000
It's the very same elite who would have screamed blue murder if the Aurat March had been in anyway restricted (which happened as the pandemic was developing), but go hoarse demanding closure of mosques and places of worship that most of the poor attend. Consistency be dammed!
Those claiming millions will die even 50% of the population is infected, are pulling nos out of thin air. There's little empirical evidence to support that. Given Pakistan's demographics & the data on fatality rates among different age cohorts,
the data from the latest Research on CoronaVirus by Imperial college as shown in table below, the estimated fatalities would range from 600k-1mn. Any number is too high & unacceptable, but has to be weighed against the many millions more that may die bcoz of a complete lockdown
Those wanting a complete lockdown shud appreciate that it could result in a breakdown of the food supply chain. That has all the possibility of causing a manmade famine & consequently tens of millions starving. Starvations itself results in spread of epidemics and millions perish
It's worth also noting that South Korea, which was one of the first epicentres of COVID, did not go for a complete lockdown. It has nevertheless still managed to severely curtail the spread of the virus. From a peak of about a thousand new cases per day to presently below 60
Those clamouring for complete lockdown shud appreciate that there's the additional problem of violence and crime. In developing countries, where people have little savings they can't afford to sit idle at home. In case of extreme need, some may resort to crime to feed themselves
It's probably the responsibility of the the privileged elite that are prolly the most contagious vectors given that they travel extensively & interact with many different people to isolate themselves and for the poor masses to keep away from them. The rich can afford to stay home
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