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It would indeed be a quite radical development if figures worldwide indicating 20% of the infected people (1 out of 5) end up in hospital turned out to be 0.1% (1 out of 1,000).
(Is it surprising all testing campaigns missed all these asymptomatic mildly infected people?)
Hey guys I’m no epidemiologist but if the virus spread widely since mid-January to half the UK population, why on Earth would it have waited *more than a month & a half* before to kill someone?
So yeah I trust @imperialcollege’s model, as in come on @UniofOxford
Cc: @BakerLuke
Also ”fun” fact: if only 1 out of 1,000 ends up in hospital, that would mean 33,000 COVID19 patients hospitalised (out of the 33m infected)
And something like 198k dead people, acc. to the lowest ever recorded mortality rate
Where are they?
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