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1/8. I’ve been following the number of US & international corona virus cases & provide some observations of recent trends, that maybe of interest. Note that a relatively high number of deaths as a % of confirmed cases (PERCENT) likely indicates a combination of poor
2/ quality of care & low rates of testing (see: )

Well known stuff. Internationally, Italy is a disaster: 6820 deaths & highest PERCENT (9.9%) indicating the 69,176 reported cases far understated the total. Iran is next: 1934 deaths, PERCENT = 7.8%.
3/ China still has 2nd highest death count (3277) but it’s basically stable.

In US: NY situation is bad (210 deaths) but relatively low PERCENT (0.82%) suggests large number of confirmed cases (25,665) reflects widespread testing WA has 2nd most deaths (109) but fairly modest
4/ increases in last couple of days.

Some results I was not aware of. Internationally, major developing problem in Spain: 2,696 deaths and high PERCENT (6.80%) suggests that the 39,673 confirmed cases is a substantial undercount. (For comparison, US has 52,215 reported cases
5/ & 675 deaths.) Significant emerging problems in France (22,300 cases, 1,100 deaths, PERCENT = 4.93%), & likely UK & Netherlands, with 6,650 & 5,560 deaths and PERCENTS of 5.04% & 4.96% suggesting reported cases substantially undercount # infected. Belgium may also
6/ have an emerging problem.

Within US, keep an eye on LA (46 deaths, PERCENT = 3.31%), GA (32 deaths, PERCENT = 3.12%), CN (12 deaths, PERCENT = 1.94%) & MI (24 deaths, RATIO = 1.24%)
7/ For whatever reason, some countries/states have extremely low deaths & PERCENTs, suggesting widespread testing & good medical care. International examples (deaths, PERCENT): Germany (114, 0.42%) Singapore (2, 0.36%). Within US there aren’t a lot of bright spots.
8/ Among the 10 largest states, NC (0, 0.0%), PA (7, 0.82%), & TX (9. 1.20%) are currently best. We’ll see if that lasts.

Overall, deaths continue to rise rapidly in almost all areas. We have a ways to go.
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