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UK must remain in full lockdown until June to avoid worst effects of #covid19UK, gov leading epidemiology adviser said.
Sr gov figures more optimistic, suggesting restrictions could be eased sooner than June: peak of crisis expected in week of April 12.
thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/c…
Professor Ferguson said: “We’re going to have to keep these measures [full lockdown] in place, in my view, for a significant period of time probably until end of May, maybe even early June. May is optimistic.”
When lifted, enforce some forms of social distancing for months more.
Cabinet sources said two criteria would have to be met before Johnson could lift the lockdown:

the number of new cases must be stable or falling;

and the critical care capacity of NHS hospitals must not be exceeded.
Prof Neil Ferguson told Sunday Times: "We're going to have to keep these measures [the full lockdown] in place, in my view, for a significant period of time - probably until the end of May, maybe even early June. May is optimistic."
news.sky.com/story/coronavi…
Prof Ferguson said once lockdown is over, people will still need to practise social distancing for many more months to avoid a resurgence, could mean schools/universities staying closed until the autumn, and people continuing to work from home rather than return to their offices.
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